Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will see mostly cloudy skies on September 5, with highs likely peaking near 35–37°C amid southeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This follows hotter, clearer conditions earlier in the week, with increased cloud cover expected to limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal extremes. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on timing of any clearing, creating tight market-implied odds between 37°C and 38°C. Official updates from Spain’s AEMET and refined ECMWF or GFS runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether afternoon mixing or wind shifts push readings toward either threshold, while historical September 5 records near 37.4°C provide context for the current positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 5 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 5 settembre?
38°C 44%
37°C 39%
39°C 16%
36°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
33°C o inferiore
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C
39%
38°C
44%
39°C
16%
40°C
5%
41°C
5%
42°C
1%
43°C o superiore
1%
38°C 44%
37°C 39%
39°C 16%
36°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
33°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
2%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C
$267 Vol.
3%
36°C
$138 Vol.
6%
37°C
$120 Vol.
39%
38°C
$112 Vol.
44%
39°C
$276 Vol.
16%
40°C
$0 Vol.
5%
41°C
$0 Vol.
5%
42°C
$5 Vol.
1%
43°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will see mostly cloudy skies on September 5, with highs likely peaking near 35–37°C amid southeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This follows hotter, clearer conditions earlier in the week, with increased cloud cover expected to limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal extremes. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on timing of any clearing, creating tight market-implied odds between 37°C and 38°C. Official updates from Spain’s AEMET and refined ECMWF or GFS runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether afternoon mixing or wind shifts push readings toward either threshold, while historical September 5 records near 37.4°C provide context for the current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$681Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will see mostly cloudy skies on September 5, with highs likely peaking near 35–37°C amid southeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This follows hotter, clearer conditions earlier in the week, with increased cloud cover expected to limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal extremes. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on timing of any clearing, creating tight market-implied odds between 37°C and 38°C. Official updates from Spain’s AEMET and refined ECMWF or GFS runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether afternoon mixing or wind shifts push readings toward either threshold, while historical September 5 records near 37.4°C provide context for the current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$681Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will see mostly cloudy skies on September 5, with highs likely peaking near 35–37°C amid southeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This follows hotter, clearer conditions earlier in the week, with increased cloud cover expected to limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal extremes. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on timing of any clearing, creating tight market-implied odds between 37°C and 38°C. Official updates from Spain’s AEMET and refined ECMWF or GFS runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether afternoon mixing or wind shifts push readings toward either threshold, while historical September 5 records near 37.4°C provide context for the current positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti