Forecast models from agencies tracking the subtropical high over the Yangtze basin show mostly clear skies and light winds overnight into September 4, supporting radiative cooling that favors a minimum near 23–24 °C. Slight differences among ensembles arise from small variations in predicted low-level moisture and wind speed: drier air and calm conditions allow greater surface heat loss, while modest southeasterly flow or thin cloud could limit the drop to 25–26 °C. Historical early-September climatology for Chongqing places typical minima around 22–24 °C under similar high-pressure regimes, and current observations of daytime maxima near 34–35 °C confirm the thermal contrast available for overnight cooling. No significant frontal systems or monsoon surges are expected before resolution, leaving the tight market spread driven by these subtle boundary-layer uncertainties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 4 settembre?
26°C 96%
19°C o inferiore 95%
29°C o superiore 95%
22°C 94%
19°C o inferiore
95%
20°C
87%
21°C
92%
22°C
94%
23°C
49%
24°C
51%
25°C
93%
26°C
96%
27°C
88%
28°C
92%
29°C o superiore
95%
26°C 96%
19°C o inferiore 95%
29°C o superiore 95%
22°C 94%
19°C o inferiore
95%
20°C
87%
21°C
92%
22°C
94%
23°C
49%
24°C
51%
25°C
93%
26°C
96%
27°C
88%
28°C
92%
29°C o superiore
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies tracking the subtropical high over the Yangtze basin show mostly clear skies and light winds overnight into September 4, supporting radiative cooling that favors a minimum near 23–24 °C. Slight differences among ensembles arise from small variations in predicted low-level moisture and wind speed: drier air and calm conditions allow greater surface heat loss, while modest southeasterly flow or thin cloud could limit the drop to 25–26 °C. Historical early-September climatology for Chongqing places typical minima around 22–24 °C under similar high-pressure regimes, and current observations of daytime maxima near 34–35 °C confirm the thermal contrast available for overnight cooling. No significant frontal systems or monsoon surges are expected before resolution, leaving the tight market spread driven by these subtle boundary-layer uncertainties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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