Market-implied odds favor 32°C as Guangzhou’s highest temperature on September 6, driven by short-range model consensus showing partly cloudy to overcast skies with 50–70% rain probability that curbs peak insolation. Cloud cover and scattered showers reduce surface heating compared with clearer conditions, keeping the maximum near or slightly below the 1991–2020 September 6 average of 32.7°C. Humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate daytime rises, while historical analogs indicate rain days typically cap highs 1–3°C lower than dry ones. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric factors against minor model spread that could allow 33°C if convection stays limited or 31°C if showers arrive earlier. Official station readings tomorrow will resolve the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 6 settembre?
32°C 34%
31°C 26%
33°C 26%
30°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
26%
32°C
34%
33°C
26%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C o superiore
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 26%
33°C 26%
30°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$119 Vol.
1%
27°C
$100 Vol.
1%
28°C
$59 Vol.
2%
29°C
$272 Vol.
4%
30°C
$251 Vol.
7%
31°C
$129 Vol.
26%
32°C
$176 Vol.
34%
33°C
$303 Vol.
26%
34°C
$1,812 Vol.
6%
35°C
$205 Vol.
1%
36°C o superiore
$291 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor 32°C as Guangzhou’s highest temperature on September 6, driven by short-range model consensus showing partly cloudy to overcast skies with 50–70% rain probability that curbs peak insolation. Cloud cover and scattered showers reduce surface heating compared with clearer conditions, keeping the maximum near or slightly below the 1991–2020 September 6 average of 32.7°C. Humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate daytime rises, while historical analogs indicate rain days typically cap highs 1–3°C lower than dry ones. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric factors against minor model spread that could allow 33°C if convection stays limited or 31°C if showers arrive earlier. Official station readings tomorrow will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,717Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor 32°C as Guangzhou’s highest temperature on September 6, driven by short-range model consensus showing partly cloudy to overcast skies with 50–70% rain probability that curbs peak insolation. Cloud cover and scattered showers reduce surface heating compared with clearer conditions, keeping the maximum near or slightly below the 1991–2020 September 6 average of 32.7°C. Humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate daytime rises, while historical analogs indicate rain days typically cap highs 1–3°C lower than dry ones. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric factors against minor model spread that could allow 33°C if convection stays limited or 31°C if showers arrive earlier. Official station readings tomorrow will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,717Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds favor 32°C as Guangzhou’s highest temperature on September 6, driven by short-range model consensus showing partly cloudy to overcast skies with 50–70% rain probability that curbs peak insolation. Cloud cover and scattered showers reduce surface heating compared with clearer conditions, keeping the maximum near or slightly below the 1991–2020 September 6 average of 32.7°C. Humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate daytime rises, while historical analogs indicate rain days typically cap highs 1–3°C lower than dry ones. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric factors against minor model spread that could allow 33°C if convection stays limited or 31°C if showers arrive earlier. Official station readings tomorrow will resolve the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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