Trader consensus centers on 24°C as Munich’s likely daily maximum for September 6, with 51% implied probability, as the latest ECMWF and ICON ensemble runs converge on that value under a moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating. Recent model updates show a stable air mass with afternoon temperatures peaking near 23–25°C, consistent with early-September climatology for southern Germany where mean highs hover around 22°C. Minor spread in guidance keeps 25°C and 23°C as secondary possibilities at 19.5% and 18.5%, respectively, while warmer or cooler outliers remain low-probability given the absence of strong advection or cloud-cover changes. The next DWD and ECMWF high-resolution updates, expected within the next 12–18 hours, will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 6 settembre?
24°C 51%
25°C 20%
23°C 19%
22°C 4%
NUOVO
$17,314 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,314 Vol.
6 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
51%
25°C
20%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C o superiore
3%
24°C 51%
25°C 20%
23°C 19%
22°C 4%
NUOVO
$17,314 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,314 Vol.
6 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
$350 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$15,051 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$110 Vol.
1%
21°C
$63 Vol.
2%
22°C
$271 Vol.
4%
23°C
$494 Vol.
19%
24°C
$660 Vol.
51%
25°C
$303 Vol.
20%
26°C
$6 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1 Vol.
1%
28°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 24°C as Munich’s likely daily maximum for September 6, with 51% implied probability, as the latest ECMWF and ICON ensemble runs converge on that value under a moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating. Recent model updates show a stable air mass with afternoon temperatures peaking near 23–25°C, consistent with early-September climatology for southern Germany where mean highs hover around 22°C. Minor spread in guidance keeps 25°C and 23°C as secondary possibilities at 19.5% and 18.5%, respectively, while warmer or cooler outliers remain low-probability given the absence of strong advection or cloud-cover changes. The next DWD and ECMWF high-resolution updates, expected within the next 12–18 hours, will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,314Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 24°C as Munich’s likely daily maximum for September 6, with 51% implied probability, as the latest ECMWF and ICON ensemble runs converge on that value under a moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating. Recent model updates show a stable air mass with afternoon temperatures peaking near 23–25°C, consistent with early-September climatology for southern Germany where mean highs hover around 22°C. Minor spread in guidance keeps 25°C and 23°C as secondary possibilities at 19.5% and 18.5%, respectively, while warmer or cooler outliers remain low-probability given the absence of strong advection or cloud-cover changes. The next DWD and ECMWF high-resolution updates, expected within the next 12–18 hours, will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,314Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 24°C as Munich’s likely daily maximum for September 6, with 51% implied probability, as the latest ECMWF and ICON ensemble runs converge on that value under a moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating. Recent model updates show a stable air mass with afternoon temperatures peaking near 23–25°C, consistent with early-September climatology for southern Germany where mean highs hover around 22°C. Minor spread in guidance keeps 25°C and 23°C as secondary possibilities at 19.5% and 18.5%, respectively, while warmer or cooler outliers remain low-probability given the absence of strong advection or cloud-cover changes. The next DWD and ECMWF high-resolution updates, expected within the next 12–18 hours, will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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