Recent forecast consensus from Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global models indicates a daily minimum near 25–26°C on September 5, driven by elevated dew points around 24–25°C, persistent cloud cover from scattered showers, and light variable winds that restrict nocturnal radiative cooling. Regional circulation influenced by lingering tropical systems maintains high humidity and prevents stronger advection of cooler air, keeping overnight lows above historical early-September averages in some runs. Model spreads arise from uncertain shower timing and minor wind shifts, creating tight probabilities across 24–27°C outcomes while lower or much higher values remain less supported by current atmospheric conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 5 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 5 settembre?
20°C o inferiore 41%
27°C 35%
26°C 34%
25°C 25%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
41%
21°C
14%
22°C
19%
23°C
20%
24°C
18%
25°C
25%
26°C
34%
27°C
35%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C o superiore
2%
20°C o inferiore 41%
27°C 35%
26°C 34%
25°C 25%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
41%
21°C
$0 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global models indicates a daily minimum near 25–26°C on September 5, driven by elevated dew points around 24–25°C, persistent cloud cover from scattered showers, and light variable winds that restrict nocturnal radiative cooling. Regional circulation influenced by lingering tropical systems maintains high humidity and prevents stronger advection of cooler air, keeping overnight lows above historical early-September averages in some runs. Model spreads arise from uncertain shower timing and minor wind shifts, creating tight probabilities across 24–27°C outcomes while lower or much higher values remain less supported by current atmospheric conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global models indicates a daily minimum near 25–26°C on September 5, driven by elevated dew points around 24–25°C, persistent cloud cover from scattered showers, and light variable winds that restrict nocturnal radiative cooling. Regional circulation influenced by lingering tropical systems maintains high humidity and prevents stronger advection of cooler air, keeping overnight lows above historical early-September averages in some runs. Model spreads arise from uncertain shower timing and minor wind shifts, creating tight probabilities across 24–27°C outcomes while lower or much higher values remain less supported by current atmospheric conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global models indicates a daily minimum near 25–26°C on September 5, driven by elevated dew points around 24–25°C, persistent cloud cover from scattered showers, and light variable winds that restrict nocturnal radiative cooling. Regional circulation influenced by lingering tropical systems maintains high humidity and prevents stronger advection of cooler air, keeping overnight lows above historical early-September averages in some runs. Model spreads arise from uncertain shower timing and minor wind shifts, creating tight probabilities across 24–27°C outcomes while lower or much higher values remain less supported by current atmospheric conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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