Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 2 settembre?
25°C 84%
24°C 18%
23°C 1.4%
26°C <1%
NUOVO
$11,022 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,022 Vol.
2 set 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
18%
25°C
84%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 84%
24°C 18%
23°C 1.4%
26°C <1%
NUOVO
$11,022 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,022 Vol.
2 set 2026
21°C or below
$299 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$487 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,326 Vol.
1%
24°C
$710 Vol.
18%
25°C
$1,473 Vol.
84%
26°C
$2,963 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,816 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$324 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,022Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,022Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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