Latest AEMET forecasts and ensemble model guidance project a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 7 under clear to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 37°C (53%) and 38°C (40.5%). These values sit well above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 28.5°C but remain below the 38.5°C all-time record for the date. Stable high pressure and dry continental air have prevented significant cooling or moisture influx, keeping overnight lows in the low 20s and allowing strong daytime heating. Updated model runs through September 5 show little disagreement on peak values, though minor shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could trim or add a degree before final observations from Retiro or Barajas stations determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 7 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 7 settembre?
37°C 54%
38°C 39%
36°C 6%
35°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
34°C o inferiore
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
6%
37°C
54%
38°C
39%
39°C
3%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C o superiore
<1%
37°C 54%
38°C 39%
36°C 6%
35°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
34°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C
$0 Vol.
4%
36°C
$33 Vol.
6%
37°C
$628 Vol.
54%
38°C
$243 Vol.
39%
39°C
$68 Vol.
3%
40°C
$0 Vol.
2%
41°C
$0 Vol.
1%
42°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
44°C o superiore
$307 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET forecasts and ensemble model guidance project a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 7 under clear to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 37°C (53%) and 38°C (40.5%). These values sit well above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 28.5°C but remain below the 38.5°C all-time record for the date. Stable high pressure and dry continental air have prevented significant cooling or moisture influx, keeping overnight lows in the low 20s and allowing strong daytime heating. Updated model runs through September 5 show little disagreement on peak values, though minor shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could trim or add a degree before final observations from Retiro or Barajas stations determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,618Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET forecasts and ensemble model guidance project a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 7 under clear to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 37°C (53%) and 38°C (40.5%). These values sit well above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 28.5°C but remain below the 38.5°C all-time record for the date. Stable high pressure and dry continental air have prevented significant cooling or moisture influx, keeping overnight lows in the low 20s and allowing strong daytime heating. Updated model runs through September 5 show little disagreement on peak values, though minor shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could trim or add a degree before final observations from Retiro or Barajas stations determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,618Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET forecasts and ensemble model guidance project a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 7 under clear to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 37°C (53%) and 38°C (40.5%). These values sit well above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 28.5°C but remain below the 38.5°C all-time record for the date. Stable high pressure and dry continental air have prevented significant cooling or moisture influx, keeping overnight lows in the low 20s and allowing strong daytime heating. Updated model runs through September 5 show little disagreement on peak values, though minor shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could trim or add a degree before final observations from Retiro or Barajas stations determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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