The tight split between 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes stems from uncertainty in afternoon convective development and cloud cover over Lucknow during the active monsoon phase. Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and regional models show peak temperatures hinging on the exact timing of any scattered showers or breaks in cloudiness, which can suppress readings by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical September baselines for the city hover near 32–34°C under clearer conditions, yet persistent humidity and potential for localized rainfall keep the distribution narrow. Updated model runs later today, along with real-time station data, will clarify whether the maximum settles at the lower or higher end of this range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 5 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 5 settembre?
32°C 44%
31°C 42%
33°C 7%
30°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
42%
32°C
44%
33°C
7%
34°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 44%
31°C 42%
33°C 7%
30°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$434 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$307 Vol.
1%
29°C
$195 Vol.
1%
30°C
$734 Vol.
6%
31°C
$2,431 Vol.
42%
32°C
$1,972 Vol.
44%
33°C
$701 Vol.
7%
34°C o superiore
$188 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight split between 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes stems from uncertainty in afternoon convective development and cloud cover over Lucknow during the active monsoon phase. Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and regional models show peak temperatures hinging on the exact timing of any scattered showers or breaks in cloudiness, which can suppress readings by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical September baselines for the city hover near 32–34°C under clearer conditions, yet persistent humidity and potential for localized rainfall keep the distribution narrow. Updated model runs later today, along with real-time station data, will clarify whether the maximum settles at the lower or higher end of this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,936Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight split between 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes stems from uncertainty in afternoon convective development and cloud cover over Lucknow during the active monsoon phase. Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and regional models show peak temperatures hinging on the exact timing of any scattered showers or breaks in cloudiness, which can suppress readings by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical September baselines for the city hover near 32–34°C under clearer conditions, yet persistent humidity and potential for localized rainfall keep the distribution narrow. Updated model runs later today, along with real-time station data, will clarify whether the maximum settles at the lower or higher end of this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,936Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The tight split between 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes stems from uncertainty in afternoon convective development and cloud cover over Lucknow during the active monsoon phase. Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and regional models show peak temperatures hinging on the exact timing of any scattered showers or breaks in cloudiness, which can suppress readings by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical September baselines for the city hover near 32–34°C under clearer conditions, yet persistent humidity and potential for localized rainfall keep the distribution narrow. Updated model runs later today, along with real-time station data, will clarify whether the maximum settles at the lower or higher end of this range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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