**Monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers are the dominant factors capping Lucknow's September 5 minimum temperature near 25-27°C.** Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international models consistently project overnight lows of 25-26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 50-80% chance of thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling while evaporative effects from rain moderate further drops. Recent above-normal regional rainfall has sustained this pattern, preventing the clearer skies that could allow temperatures to dip below 24°C. The closely matched market probabilities around 25°C and 26°C reflect uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity at the official recording station, with lower outcomes (23°C or below) priced in for any heavier overnight downpours that enhance cooling. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and IMD briefings for shifts in cloud persistence or wind patterns that could alter the final minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 5 settembre?
21°C o inferiore 83%
22°C 54%
23°C 22%
24°C 2%
21°C o inferiore
83%
22°C
54%
23°C
22%
24°C
2%
25°C
46%
26°C
53%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
21°C o inferiore 83%
22°C 54%
23°C 22%
24°C 2%
21°C o inferiore
83%
22°C
54%
23°C
22%
24°C
2%
25°C
46%
26°C
53%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers are the dominant factors capping Lucknow's September 5 minimum temperature near 25-27°C.** Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international models consistently project overnight lows of 25-26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 50-80% chance of thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling while evaporative effects from rain moderate further drops. Recent above-normal regional rainfall has sustained this pattern, preventing the clearer skies that could allow temperatures to dip below 24°C. The closely matched market probabilities around 25°C and 26°C reflect uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity at the official recording station, with lower outcomes (23°C or below) priced in for any heavier overnight downpours that enhance cooling. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and IMD briefings for shifts in cloud persistence or wind patterns that could alter the final minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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