Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and GFS cluster Helsinki's September 7 maximum temperature around 16–18 °C, aligning with the seasonal climatological mean of 16.9 °C for that date. Mild southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and Baltic Sea moderation support daytime highs near 17 °C, with model consensus showing low likelihood of significant deviation. Trader positioning on 17 °C (46.5 % implied) and 18 °C (28.5 %) reflects this narrow forecast range and minimal expected variance in the final 48-hour window before resolution. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next two days remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Helsinki il 7 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Helsinki il 7 settembre?
17°C 46%
18°C 29%
16°C 21%
19°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
3%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
6%
16°C
21%
17°C
46%
18°C
29%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C o superiore
1%
17°C 46%
18°C 29%
16°C 21%
19°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
3%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
6%
16°C
$58 Vol.
21%
17°C
$101 Vol.
46%
18°C
$36 Vol.
29%
19°C
$0 Vol.
6%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$57 Vol.
1%
22°C o superiore
$125 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and GFS cluster Helsinki's September 7 maximum temperature around 16–18 °C, aligning with the seasonal climatological mean of 16.9 °C for that date. Mild southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and Baltic Sea moderation support daytime highs near 17 °C, with model consensus showing low likelihood of significant deviation. Trader positioning on 17 °C (46.5 % implied) and 18 °C (28.5 %) reflects this narrow forecast range and minimal expected variance in the final 48-hour window before resolution. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next two days remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$377Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and GFS cluster Helsinki's September 7 maximum temperature around 16–18 °C, aligning with the seasonal climatological mean of 16.9 °C for that date. Mild southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and Baltic Sea moderation support daytime highs near 17 °C, with model consensus showing low likelihood of significant deviation. Trader positioning on 17 °C (46.5 % implied) and 18 °C (28.5 %) reflects this narrow forecast range and minimal expected variance in the final 48-hour window before resolution. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next two days remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$377Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and GFS cluster Helsinki's September 7 maximum temperature around 16–18 °C, aligning with the seasonal climatological mean of 16.9 °C for that date. Mild southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and Baltic Sea moderation support daytime highs near 17 °C, with model consensus showing low likelihood of significant deviation. Trader positioning on 17 °C (46.5 % implied) and 18 °C (28.5 %) reflects this narrow forecast range and minimal expected variance in the final 48-hour window before resolution. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next two days remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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