Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS-based models project a September 7 minimum near 15°C in Toronto under clear skies and light northwest winds, favoring radiative cooling without significant cold advection. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.4°C and recent ensemble guidance showing limited spread. Trader-implied odds reflect uncertainty in the precise overnight low, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the outcome by 1–2°C, with 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher brackets capturing tail risks from model divergence ahead of final updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Toronto il 7 settembre?
10°C o inferiore 69%
20°C o superiore 59%
14°C 50%
11°C 49%
10°C o inferiore
69%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
50%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
42%
19°C
42%
20°C o superiore
59%
10°C o inferiore 69%
20°C o superiore 59%
14°C 50%
11°C 49%
10°C o inferiore
69%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
50%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
42%
19°C
42%
20°C o superiore
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS-based models project a September 7 minimum near 15°C in Toronto under clear skies and light northwest winds, favoring radiative cooling without significant cold advection. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.4°C and recent ensemble guidance showing limited spread. Trader-implied odds reflect uncertainty in the precise overnight low, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the outcome by 1–2°C, with 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher brackets capturing tail risks from model divergence ahead of final updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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