Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate clearing skies and subsidence behind a frontal passage on September 3, favoring mostly sunny conditions and radiative heating on the 4th that supports daytime maxima near 31–32°C under light northeasterly flow. This aligns with early-September climatology for Wuhan, where typical highs range 30–32°C amid waning monsoon moisture. Close market-implied probabilities across 31–33°C reflect modest ensemble spread in peak temperature tied to subtle differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing among global models. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next high-resolution runs will refine these short-term details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 4 settembre?
32°C 28%
33°C 26%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
28%
33°C
26%
34°C
11%
35°C o superiore
5%
32°C 28%
33°C 26%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$102 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$95 Vol.
1%
28°C
$172 Vol.
2%
29°C
$50 Vol.
3%
30°C
$20 Vol.
5%
31°C
$8 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
28%
33°C
$65 Vol.
26%
34°C
$60 Vol.
11%
35°C o superiore
$65 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate clearing skies and subsidence behind a frontal passage on September 3, favoring mostly sunny conditions and radiative heating on the 4th that supports daytime maxima near 31–32°C under light northeasterly flow. This aligns with early-September climatology for Wuhan, where typical highs range 30–32°C amid waning monsoon moisture. Close market-implied probabilities across 31–33°C reflect modest ensemble spread in peak temperature tied to subtle differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing among global models. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next high-resolution runs will refine these short-term details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$733Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate clearing skies and subsidence behind a frontal passage on September 3, favoring mostly sunny conditions and radiative heating on the 4th that supports daytime maxima near 31–32°C under light northeasterly flow. This aligns with early-September climatology for Wuhan, where typical highs range 30–32°C amid waning monsoon moisture. Close market-implied probabilities across 31–33°C reflect modest ensemble spread in peak temperature tied to subtle differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing among global models. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next high-resolution runs will refine these short-term details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$733Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate clearing skies and subsidence behind a frontal passage on September 3, favoring mostly sunny conditions and radiative heating on the 4th that supports daytime maxima near 31–32°C under light northeasterly flow. This aligns with early-September climatology for Wuhan, where typical highs range 30–32°C amid waning monsoon moisture. Close market-implied probabilities across 31–33°C reflect modest ensemble spread in peak temperature tied to subtle differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing among global models. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next high-resolution runs will refine these short-term details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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