Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus for Austin on September 6 points to a high near 96–98°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and a modest afternoon storm chance. This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin, as September climatology favors upper-90s peaks when subtropical ridging persists and dew points remain elevated. Short-term guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest spread across runs regarding the precise peak and any convective cooling. Traders appear to weigh the reliability of this warm pattern against the historical 93°F average and occasional late-summer surges, keeping higher bins at low implied probability while the tight cluster around mid-90s reflects the narrow forecast envelope two days out.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Austin il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Austin il 6 settembre?
96-97°F 42%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 24%
100-101°F 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
85°F o inferiore
1%
30-30,5°C
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
42%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
16%
104°F o superiore
10%
96-97°F 42%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 24%
100-101°F 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
85°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
1%
30-30,5°C
$0 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
11%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
24%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
37%
96-97°F
$5 Vol.
42%
98-99°F
$6 Vol.
14%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
18%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
16%
104°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus for Austin on September 6 points to a high near 96–98°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and a modest afternoon storm chance. This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin, as September climatology favors upper-90s peaks when subtropical ridging persists and dew points remain elevated. Short-term guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest spread across runs regarding the precise peak and any convective cooling. Traders appear to weigh the reliability of this warm pattern against the historical 93°F average and occasional late-summer surges, keeping higher bins at low implied probability while the tight cluster around mid-90s reflects the narrow forecast envelope two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$11Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus for Austin on September 6 points to a high near 96–98°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and a modest afternoon storm chance. This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin, as September climatology favors upper-90s peaks when subtropical ridging persists and dew points remain elevated. Short-term guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest spread across runs regarding the precise peak and any convective cooling. Traders appear to weigh the reliability of this warm pattern against the historical 93°F average and occasional late-summer surges, keeping higher bins at low implied probability while the tight cluster around mid-90s reflects the narrow forecast envelope two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus for Austin on September 6 points to a high near 96–98°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and a modest afternoon storm chance. This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin, as September climatology favors upper-90s peaks when subtropical ridging persists and dew points remain elevated. Short-term guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest spread across runs regarding the precise peak and any convective cooling. Traders appear to weigh the reliability of this warm pattern against the historical 93°F average and occasional late-summer surges, keeping higher bins at low implied probability while the tight cluster around mid-90s reflects the narrow forecast envelope two days out.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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