The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 22 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 22 giugno?
23°C 33%
24°C 23%
22°C 21%
21°C o inferiore 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 giu 2026
21°C o inferiore
20%
22°C
21%
23°C
33%
24°C
23%
25°C
11%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 33%
24°C 23%
22°C 21%
21°C o inferiore 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 giu 2026
21°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
33%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
11%
26°C
$214 Vol.
2%
27°C
$41 Vol.
5%
28°C
$46 Vol.
1%
29°C
$255 Vol.
5%
30°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$736Data di fine
22 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$736Data di fine
22 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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