Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models place Taipei's June 20 high near 33–34°C under typical early-summer conditions of high humidity, weak steering flow, and afternoon convective heating. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because Central Weather Bureau guidance and ensemble runs show limited potential for stronger subtropical ridging or suppressed cloud cover that would push peaks to 36–38°C, while urban heat-island effects and brief thundershowers introduce downward variability. With outcomes tightly bunched, small shifts in 48-hour model consensus on insolation or moisture convergence will determine whether the daily maximum resolves at the 34°C or adjacent 33–35°C bins before official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Taipei on June 20?
34°C 22%
35°C 19%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
14%
34°C
22%
35°C
19%
36°C
19%
37°C
14%
38°C
10%
39°C or higher
3%
34°C 22%
35°C 19%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
14%
34°C
22%
35°C
19%
36°C
19%
37°C
14%
38°C
10%
39°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models place Taipei's June 20 high near 33–34°C under typical early-summer conditions of high humidity, weak steering flow, and afternoon convective heating. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because Central Weather Bureau guidance and ensemble runs show limited potential for stronger subtropical ridging or suppressed cloud cover that would push peaks to 36–38°C, while urban heat-island effects and brief thundershowers introduce downward variability. With outcomes tightly bunched, small shifts in 48-hour model consensus on insolation or moisture convergence will determine whether the daily maximum resolves at the 34°C or adjacent 33–35°C bins before official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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