Recent forecast models for Seoul and Incheon show typical midsummer conditions with overnight lows near 23–26°C, yet the tightly matched 45% market-implied odds on 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in minimum temperature projections for August 2. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 75–80%, and potential light precipitation that can suppress or enhance radiative cooling overnight. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how steering patterns and local urban heat effects create divergence between runs, keeping trader sentiment balanced until updated model data or real-time observations narrow the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 2 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 2 agosto?
26°C 70%
22°C o inferiore 40%
27°C 31%
28°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
40%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
16%
26°C
56%
27°C
31%
28°C
19%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
8%
26°C 70%
22°C o inferiore 40%
27°C 31%
28°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$25 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C
$25 Vol.
8%
25°C
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$31 Vol.
56%
27°C
$0 Vol.
31%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$25 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Seoul and Incheon show typical midsummer conditions with overnight lows near 23–26°C, yet the tightly matched 45% market-implied odds on 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in minimum temperature projections for August 2. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 75–80%, and potential light precipitation that can suppress or enhance radiative cooling overnight. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how steering patterns and local urban heat effects create divergence between runs, keeping trader sentiment balanced until updated model data or real-time observations narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$30Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Seoul and Incheon show typical midsummer conditions with overnight lows near 23–26°C, yet the tightly matched 45% market-implied odds on 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in minimum temperature projections for August 2. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 75–80%, and potential light precipitation that can suppress or enhance radiative cooling overnight. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how steering patterns and local urban heat effects create divergence between runs, keeping trader sentiment balanced until updated model data or real-time observations narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Seoul and Incheon show typical midsummer conditions with overnight lows near 23–26°C, yet the tightly matched 45% market-implied odds on 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in minimum temperature projections for August 2. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 75–80%, and potential light precipitation that can suppress or enhance radiative cooling overnight. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how steering patterns and local urban heat effects create divergence between runs, keeping trader sentiment balanced until updated model data or real-time observations narrow the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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