**Market-implied odds heavily favor an 18°C low in Seoul (Incheon) on September 12, 2026, reflecting broad consensus across meteorological forecasts.** Official guidance and multiple models indicate stable, mostly cloudy conditions with light variable winds and no significant cold air advection or frontal passages, keeping overnight temperatures near the seasonal average minimum for the area. Hourly trends show gradual cooling from daytime highs near 24–26°C to a floor around 18–20°C by early morning, consistent with National Meteorological Administration patterns and historical September baselines. Trader positioning aligns with this narrow range, as forecast ensembles show minimal divergence. The primary realistic challenge would be a localized measurement anomaly or last-minute model shift from unexpected radiative cooling under clearer skies, though current observations make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 12 settembre?
18°C 99%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
14°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 99%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
14°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
$259 Vol.
1%
14°C
$56 Vol.
1%
15°C
$56 Vol.
1%
16°C
$155 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,807 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,168 Vol.
99%
19°C
$2,790 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
23°C o superiore
$259 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor an 18°C low in Seoul (Incheon) on September 12, 2026, reflecting broad consensus across meteorological forecasts.** Official guidance and multiple models indicate stable, mostly cloudy conditions with light variable winds and no significant cold air advection or frontal passages, keeping overnight temperatures near the seasonal average minimum for the area. Hourly trends show gradual cooling from daytime highs near 24–26°C to a floor around 18–20°C by early morning, consistent with National Meteorological Administration patterns and historical September baselines. Trader positioning aligns with this narrow range, as forecast ensembles show minimal divergence. The primary realistic challenge would be a localized measurement anomaly or last-minute model shift from unexpected radiative cooling under clearer skies, though current observations make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$8,480Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor an 18°C low in Seoul (Incheon) on September 12, 2026, reflecting broad consensus across meteorological forecasts.** Official guidance and multiple models indicate stable, mostly cloudy conditions with light variable winds and no significant cold air advection or frontal passages, keeping overnight temperatures near the seasonal average minimum for the area. Hourly trends show gradual cooling from daytime highs near 24–26°C to a floor around 18–20°C by early morning, consistent with National Meteorological Administration patterns and historical September baselines. Trader positioning aligns with this narrow range, as forecast ensembles show minimal divergence. The primary realistic challenge would be a localized measurement anomaly or last-minute model shift from unexpected radiative cooling under clearer skies, though current observations make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,480Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds heavily favor an 18°C low in Seoul (Incheon) on September 12, 2026, reflecting broad consensus across meteorological forecasts.** Official guidance and multiple models indicate stable, mostly cloudy conditions with light variable winds and no significant cold air advection or frontal passages, keeping overnight temperatures near the seasonal average minimum for the area. Hourly trends show gradual cooling from daytime highs near 24–26°C to a floor around 18–20°C by early morning, consistent with National Meteorological Administration patterns and historical September baselines. Trader positioning aligns with this narrow range, as forecast ensembles show minimal divergence. The primary realistic challenge would be a localized measurement anomaly or last-minute model shift from unexpected radiative cooling under clearer skies, though current observations make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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