Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate a likely maximum of 23–24°C in London on September 12, supported by southwesterly winds, high pressure near 1023 hPa, and partly cloudy conditions that moderate daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus on those two outcomes, each near 36%. Differentiation between them hinges on variables such as afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation, exact wind speeds near 10–13 mph, and the timing of any light showers, which could cap or allow a brief peak near 25°C. Historical September averages hover around 20.5°C, underscoring the above-normal signal. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 12 settembre?
23°C 37%
24°C 36%
25°C 13%
22°C 12%
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
12%
23°C
37%
24°C
36%
25°C
13%
26°C
5%
27°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 37%
24°C 36%
25°C 13%
22°C 12%
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
12%
23°C
37%
24°C
36%
25°C
13%
26°C
5%
27°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate a likely maximum of 23–24°C in London on September 12, supported by southwesterly winds, high pressure near 1023 hPa, and partly cloudy conditions that moderate daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus on those two outcomes, each near 36%. Differentiation between them hinges on variables such as afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation, exact wind speeds near 10–13 mph, and the timing of any light showers, which could cap or allow a brief peak near 25°C. Historical September averages hover around 20.5°C, underscoring the above-normal signal. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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