Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models indicate that a shift to cooler westerly flow following a cold front has capped maximum temperatures in Warsaw near 19–20 °C on September 10. Surface observations from the early morning show readings in the mid-teens Celsius under cloudy skies with light rain, while afternoon guidance from regional models consistently peaks at or just below 20 °C amid moderate humidity and 15–20 km/h winds. This marks a sharp decline from the prior day’s 29 °C high, driven by advection of maritime polar air rather than the warmer continental conditions that dominated earlier in the week. With resolution thresholds narrowly separated, the 90 % market weighting on 20 °C reflects tight consensus around official forecast maxima, though minor timing shifts in clearing skies could still nudge the daily peak into the adjacent 19 °C or 21 °C bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 10 settembre?
20°C 90%
21°C 8%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
$98,330 Vol.
$98,330 Vol.
10 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
90%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 90%
21°C 8%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
$98,330 Vol.
$98,330 Vol.
10 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
$4,355 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$8,803 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$14,749 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$22,064 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$34,126 Vol.
1%
20°C
$8,351 Vol.
90%
21°C
$3,558 Vol.
8%
22°C
$1,205 Vol.
1%
23°C
$545 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
25°C o superiore
$372 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models indicate that a shift to cooler westerly flow following a cold front has capped maximum temperatures in Warsaw near 19–20 °C on September 10. Surface observations from the early morning show readings in the mid-teens Celsius under cloudy skies with light rain, while afternoon guidance from regional models consistently peaks at or just below 20 °C amid moderate humidity and 15–20 km/h winds. This marks a sharp decline from the prior day’s 29 °C high, driven by advection of maritime polar air rather than the warmer continental conditions that dominated earlier in the week. With resolution thresholds narrowly separated, the 90 % market weighting on 20 °C reflects tight consensus around official forecast maxima, though minor timing shifts in clearing skies could still nudge the daily peak into the adjacent 19 °C or 21 °C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$98,330Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models indicate that a shift to cooler westerly flow following a cold front has capped maximum temperatures in Warsaw near 19–20 °C on September 10. Surface observations from the early morning show readings in the mid-teens Celsius under cloudy skies with light rain, while afternoon guidance from regional models consistently peaks at or just below 20 °C amid moderate humidity and 15–20 km/h winds. This marks a sharp decline from the prior day’s 29 °C high, driven by advection of maritime polar air rather than the warmer continental conditions that dominated earlier in the week. With resolution thresholds narrowly separated, the 90 % market weighting on 20 °C reflects tight consensus around official forecast maxima, though minor timing shifts in clearing skies could still nudge the daily peak into the adjacent 19 °C or 21 °C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$98,330Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models indicate that a shift to cooler westerly flow following a cold front has capped maximum temperatures in Warsaw near 19–20 °C on September 10. Surface observations from the early morning show readings in the mid-teens Celsius under cloudy skies with light rain, while afternoon guidance from regional models consistently peaks at or just below 20 °C amid moderate humidity and 15–20 km/h winds. This marks a sharp decline from the prior day’s 29 °C high, driven by advection of maritime polar air rather than the warmer continental conditions that dominated earlier in the week. With resolution thresholds narrowly separated, the 90 % market weighting on 20 °C reflects tight consensus around official forecast maxima, though minor timing shifts in clearing skies could still nudge the daily peak into the adjacent 19 °C or 21 °C bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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