Recent atmospheric patterns over southeastern Brazil, including a passing cold front and increased cloud cover, limited nighttime radiative cooling in São Paulo on September 12, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 12–14 °C rather than allowing deeper drops. Official station data and model consensus point to a recorded low in the 13–14 °C range, with trader sentiment split because small differences in urban heat island effects, wind speed, or exact timing of the coldest hour can shift the official minimum across the closely matched 12 °C, 14 °C, and 16 °C thresholds. Ongoing verification of INMET and airport observations will resolve these fine distinctions as final reports are confirmed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a San Paolo il 12 settembre?
16°C 99.5%
12°C o inferiore 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$575 Vol.
$575 Vol.
12°C o inferiore
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Sì
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C o superiore
No
16°C 99.5%
12°C o inferiore 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$575 Vol.
$575 Vol.
12°C o inferiore
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Sì
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent atmospheric patterns over southeastern Brazil, including a passing cold front and increased cloud cover, limited nighttime radiative cooling in São Paulo on September 12, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 12–14 °C rather than allowing deeper drops. Official station data and model consensus point to a recorded low in the 13–14 °C range, with trader sentiment split because small differences in urban heat island effects, wind speed, or exact timing of the coldest hour can shift the official minimum across the closely matched 12 °C, 14 °C, and 16 °C thresholds. Ongoing verification of INMET and airport observations will resolve these fine distinctions as final reports are confirmed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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