Forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate a typical subtropical September pattern for the 15th, with easterly flow, moderate humidity around 70%, and partly cloudy skies supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C. Recent observations show surface temperatures running close to the 30.1°C September climatological average, with limited convective activity expected to moderate peak heating compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus clusters around these values due to stable steering patterns and absence of tropical systems, though small differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the daily high by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with probabilities distributed across 31–33°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 15 settembre?
32°C 38%
31°C 32%
33°C 25%
35°C o superiore 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
10%
31°C
32%
32°C
38%
33°C
25%
34°C
4%
35°C o superiore
21%
32°C 38%
31°C 32%
33°C 25%
35°C o superiore 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
3%
26°C
$6 Vol.
1%
27°C
$6 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
7%
30°C
$10 Vol.
10%
31°C
$19 Vol.
32%
32°C
$36 Vol.
38%
33°C
$75 Vol.
25%
34°C
$49 Vol.
4%
35°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate a typical subtropical September pattern for the 15th, with easterly flow, moderate humidity around 70%, and partly cloudy skies supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C. Recent observations show surface temperatures running close to the 30.1°C September climatological average, with limited convective activity expected to moderate peak heating compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus clusters around these values due to stable steering patterns and absence of tropical systems, though small differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the daily high by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with probabilities distributed across 31–33°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$233Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate a typical subtropical September pattern for the 15th, with easterly flow, moderate humidity around 70%, and partly cloudy skies supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C. Recent observations show surface temperatures running close to the 30.1°C September climatological average, with limited convective activity expected to moderate peak heating compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus clusters around these values due to stable steering patterns and absence of tropical systems, though small differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the daily high by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with probabilities distributed across 31–33°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$233Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate a typical subtropical September pattern for the 15th, with easterly flow, moderate humidity around 70%, and partly cloudy skies supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C. Recent observations show surface temperatures running close to the 30.1°C September climatological average, with limited convective activity expected to moderate peak heating compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus clusters around these values due to stable steering patterns and absence of tropical systems, though small differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the daily high by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with probabilities distributed across 31–33°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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