**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum in Busan on September 15, 2026, at 97% implied probability, driven by official forecasts and climatological norms.** Current model guidance from sources such as GFS and agency outlooks projects overnight lows near 21–22°C (70–72°F) under stable northeast flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, consistent with mid-September historical averages of roughly 19–21°C for the coastal city. This positions 20°C as the most likely exact recorded minimum once official Korea Meteorological Administration data are finalized. Minor alternatives at 16–19°C reflect only slim downside risks from localized cooling or measurement variance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-season front or rapid radiational cooling not captured in current model runs, though no such signals appear in the latest guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Busan il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Busan il 15 settembre?
20°C 97%
16°C 6%
17°C 6%
19°C 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 97%
16°C 6%
17°C 6%
19°C 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
$116 Vol.
1%
16°C
$10 Vol.
6%
17°C
$168 Vol.
6%
18°C
$189 Vol.
1%
19°C
$165 Vol.
2%
20°C
$317 Vol.
97%
21°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
25°C o superiore
$186 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum in Busan on September 15, 2026, at 97% implied probability, driven by official forecasts and climatological norms.**
Current model guidance from sources such as GFS and agency outlooks projects overnight lows near 21–22°C (70–72°F) under stable northeast flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, consistent with mid-September historical averages of roughly 19–21°C for the coastal city. This positions 20°C as the most likely exact recorded minimum once official Korea Meteorological Administration data are finalized. Minor alternatives at 16–19°C reflect only slim downside risks from localized cooling or measurement variance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-season front or rapid radiational cooling not captured in current model runs, though no such signals appear in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$1,834Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum in Busan on September 15, 2026, at 97% implied probability, driven by official forecasts and climatological norms.**
Current model guidance from sources such as GFS and agency outlooks projects overnight lows near 21–22°C (70–72°F) under stable northeast flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, consistent with mid-September historical averages of roughly 19–21°C for the coastal city. This positions 20°C as the most likely exact recorded minimum once official Korea Meteorological Administration data are finalized. Minor alternatives at 16–19°C reflect only slim downside risks from localized cooling or measurement variance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-season front or rapid radiational cooling not captured in current model runs, though no such signals appear in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,834Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum in Busan on September 15, 2026, at 97% implied probability, driven by official forecasts and climatological norms.** Current model guidance from sources such as GFS and agency outlooks projects overnight lows near 21–22°C (70–72°F) under stable northeast flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, consistent with mid-September historical averages of roughly 19–21°C for the coastal city. This positions 20°C as the most likely exact recorded minimum once official Korea Meteorological Administration data are finalized. Minor alternatives at 16–19°C reflect only slim downside risks from localized cooling or measurement variance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-season front or rapid radiational cooling not captured in current model runs, though no such signals appear in the latest guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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