Current ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national services indicate a minimum temperature for Helsinki on September 17 likely in the 10–13 °C range, with daytime maxima near 16 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where the long-term average low sits around 9 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for sub-6 °C versus 16 °C-plus outcomes reflect remaining uncertainty in short-range model guidance, particularly regarding overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover or localized marine influences from the Baltic Sea. Fresh model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours will refine the expected minimum, which resolves the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Helsinki il 17 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Helsinki il 17 settembre?
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
9%
7°C
18%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
19%
13°C
11%
14°C
7%
15°C
5%
16°C o superiore
5%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
9%
7°C
$0 Vol.
18%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
7%
15°C
$0 Vol.
5%
16°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national services indicate a minimum temperature for Helsinki on September 17 likely in the 10–13 °C range, with daytime maxima near 16 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where the long-term average low sits around 9 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for sub-6 °C versus 16 °C-plus outcomes reflect remaining uncertainty in short-range model guidance, particularly regarding overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover or localized marine influences from the Baltic Sea. Fresh model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours will refine the expected minimum, which resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national services indicate a minimum temperature for Helsinki on September 17 likely in the 10–13 °C range, with daytime maxima near 16 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where the long-term average low sits around 9 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for sub-6 °C versus 16 °C-plus outcomes reflect remaining uncertainty in short-range model guidance, particularly regarding overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover or localized marine influences from the Baltic Sea. Fresh model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours will refine the expected minimum, which resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national services indicate a minimum temperature for Helsinki on September 17 likely in the 10–13 °C range, with daytime maxima near 16 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where the long-term average low sits around 9 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for sub-6 °C versus 16 °C-plus outcomes reflect remaining uncertainty in short-range model guidance, particularly regarding overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover or localized marine influences from the Baltic Sea. Fresh model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours will refine the expected minimum, which resolves the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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