Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position 17–18°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Amsterdam on September 17, driving the 54% implied probability on 18°C and 27% on 17°C. Persistent southwesterly flow is advecting mild maritime air across the North Sea region, yet extensive cloud cover and periods of rain are expected to suppress daytime heating below seasonal averages near 19°C. Latest runs show minimal spread in peak values, with winds of 15–20 mph further moderating conditions. Traders appear to weigh these stable signals heavily ahead of any final 00Z or 12Z updates that could refine the exact high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 17 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 17 settembre?
18°C 54%
17°C 27%
19°C 15%
20°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
27%
18°C
54%
19°C
15%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 54%
17°C 27%
19°C 15%
20°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
$387 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$269 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$203 Vol.
1%
15°C
$179 Vol.
2%
16°C
$602 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,140 Vol.
27%
18°C
$996 Vol.
54%
19°C
$567 Vol.
15%
20°C
$425 Vol.
4%
21°C
$169 Vol.
1%
22°C o superiore
$169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position 17–18°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Amsterdam on September 17, driving the 54% implied probability on 18°C and 27% on 17°C. Persistent southwesterly flow is advecting mild maritime air across the North Sea region, yet extensive cloud cover and periods of rain are expected to suppress daytime heating below seasonal averages near 19°C. Latest runs show minimal spread in peak values, with winds of 15–20 mph further moderating conditions. Traders appear to weigh these stable signals heavily ahead of any final 00Z or 12Z updates that could refine the exact high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,107Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position 17–18°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Amsterdam on September 17, driving the 54% implied probability on 18°C and 27% on 17°C. Persistent southwesterly flow is advecting mild maritime air across the North Sea region, yet extensive cloud cover and periods of rain are expected to suppress daytime heating below seasonal averages near 19°C. Latest runs show minimal spread in peak values, with winds of 15–20 mph further moderating conditions. Traders appear to weigh these stable signals heavily ahead of any final 00Z or 12Z updates that could refine the exact high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,107Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position 17–18°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Amsterdam on September 17, driving the 54% implied probability on 18°C and 27% on 17°C. Persistent southwesterly flow is advecting mild maritime air across the North Sea region, yet extensive cloud cover and periods of rain are expected to suppress daytime heating below seasonal averages near 19°C. Latest runs show minimal spread in peak values, with winds of 15–20 mph further moderating conditions. Traders appear to weigh these stable signals heavily ahead of any final 00Z or 12Z updates that could refine the exact high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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