Current National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas project a low around 78°F on the night of September 18, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and clear skies that limit radiational cooling amid elevated dew points. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal day-to-day variability through the period, with historical September averages near 69°F underscoring the anomalous warmth. Trader positioning near 50% on both the 71°F-or-below and 90°F-or-higher buckets reflects uncertainty around potential forecast shifts from updated model data or subtle wind changes, while narrower bins cluster around 19-20% as participants weigh the narrow range of plausible outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Dallas il 18 settembre?
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 39%
78-79°F 19%
84-85°F 19%
71°F o inferiore
5%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
7%
90°F o superiore
5%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 39%
78-79°F 19%
84-85°F 19%
71°F o inferiore
5%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
7%
90°F o superiore
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas project a low around 78°F on the night of September 18, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and clear skies that limit radiational cooling amid elevated dew points. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal day-to-day variability through the period, with historical September averages near 69°F underscoring the anomalous warmth. Trader positioning near 50% on both the 71°F-or-below and 90°F-or-higher buckets reflects uncertainty around potential forecast shifts from updated model data or subtle wind changes, while narrower bins cluster around 19-20% as participants weigh the narrow range of plausible outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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