Current forecast models from regional and international agencies converge on a daytime high of 34–35°C in Guangzhou on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, with only a 17% rain chance that limits afternoon cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C, as recent observations show persistent warmth near 32–34°C amid stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Historical September 18 averages hover near 32°C, with the all-time record at 35.7°C, underscoring that the implied probabilities reflect both climatological context and the narrow window for exceeding 36°C before any late-day convection develops. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 18 settembre?
35°C 57%
36°C 21%
34°C 19%
37°C 4%
NUOVO
$10,712 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,712 Vol.
18 set 2026
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
19%
35°C
57%
36°C
21%
37°C
4%
38°C o superiore
1%
35°C 57%
36°C 21%
34°C 19%
37°C 4%
NUOVO
$10,712 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,712 Vol.
18 set 2026
28°C o inferiore
$1,637 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$479 Vol.
1%
31°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$283 Vol.
1%
33°C
$597 Vol.
3%
34°C
$570 Vol.
19%
35°C
$2,589 Vol.
57%
36°C
$2,949 Vol.
21%
37°C
$763 Vol.
4%
38°C o superiore
$420 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional and international agencies converge on a daytime high of 34–35°C in Guangzhou on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, with only a 17% rain chance that limits afternoon cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C, as recent observations show persistent warmth near 32–34°C amid stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Historical September 18 averages hover near 32°C, with the all-time record at 35.7°C, underscoring that the implied probabilities reflect both climatological context and the narrow window for exceeding 36°C before any late-day convection develops. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$10,712Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional and international agencies converge on a daytime high of 34–35°C in Guangzhou on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, with only a 17% rain chance that limits afternoon cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C, as recent observations show persistent warmth near 32–34°C amid stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Historical September 18 averages hover near 32°C, with the all-time record at 35.7°C, underscoring that the implied probabilities reflect both climatological context and the narrow window for exceeding 36°C before any late-day convection develops. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,712Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional and international agencies converge on a daytime high of 34–35°C in Guangzhou on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, with only a 17% rain chance that limits afternoon cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C, as recent observations show persistent warmth near 32–34°C amid stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Historical September 18 averages hover near 32°C, with the all-time record at 35.7°C, underscoring that the implied probabilities reflect both climatological context and the narrow window for exceeding 36°C before any late-day convection develops. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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