Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on September 16, 2026, driving the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent rain, elevated relative humidity near 70%, and moderate easterly flow limited daytime heating despite typical September insolation levels, aligning with climatological baselines of 30–31°C. Real-time sensor data from the observatory peaked near 31.5°C before settling at the reported maximum, reflecting standard surface observation protocols. Only an unexpected post-processing revision or alternative station reading could shift resolution, though such changes remain rare given verified instrumentation and quality controls.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 16 settembre?
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
30°C <1%
25°C o inferiore <1%
$144,629 Vol.
$144,629 Vol.
16 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
30°C <1%
25°C o inferiore <1%
$144,629 Vol.
$144,629 Vol.
16 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$712 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,354 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$37,248 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$16,300 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$26,492 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$25,595 Vol.
100%
32°C
$24,074 Vol.
1%
33°C
$8,954 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,686 Vol.
<1%
35°C o superiore
$1,955 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on September 16, 2026, driving the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent rain, elevated relative humidity near 70%, and moderate easterly flow limited daytime heating despite typical September insolation levels, aligning with climatological baselines of 30–31°C. Real-time sensor data from the observatory peaked near 31.5°C before settling at the reported maximum, reflecting standard surface observation protocols. Only an unexpected post-processing revision or alternative station reading could shift resolution, though such changes remain rare given verified instrumentation and quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$144,629Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on September 16, 2026, driving the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent rain, elevated relative humidity near 70%, and moderate easterly flow limited daytime heating despite typical September insolation levels, aligning with climatological baselines of 30–31°C. Real-time sensor data from the observatory peaked near 31.5°C before settling at the reported maximum, reflecting standard surface observation protocols. Only an unexpected post-processing revision or alternative station reading could shift resolution, though such changes remain rare given verified instrumentation and quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$144,629Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on September 16, 2026, driving the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent rain, elevated relative humidity near 70%, and moderate easterly flow limited daytime heating despite typical September insolation levels, aligning with climatological baselines of 30–31°C. Real-time sensor data from the observatory peaked near 31.5°C before settling at the reported maximum, reflecting standard surface observation protocols. Only an unexpected post-processing revision or alternative station reading could shift resolution, though such changes remain rare given verified instrumentation and quality controls.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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