The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of a 27–31°C range, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure subsidence, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for a 27°C minimum. Current surface observations and regional model consensus show overnight temperatures stabilizing in the upper 20s amid mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, consistent with typical September climatology under similar monsoon flow. Traders appear to treat the HKO’s daily minimum reading as the near-certain resolution outcome. Only a sharp, unexpected drop in radiative cooling or an unforecasted cold-air surge could realistically push the actual low below 27°C before midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 16 settembre?
27°C 93%
26°C 7%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
NUOVO
$12,681 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,681 Vol.
16 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
93%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
1%
27°C 93%
26°C 7%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
NUOVO
$12,681 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,681 Vol.
16 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$188 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$115 Vol.
2%
24°C
$609 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,232 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,913 Vol.
7%
27°C
$3,441 Vol.
93%
28°C
$1,623 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$28 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,172 Vol.
1%
31°C o superiore
$1,172 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of a 27–31°C range, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure subsidence, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for a 27°C minimum. Current surface observations and regional model consensus show overnight temperatures stabilizing in the upper 20s amid mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, consistent with typical September climatology under similar monsoon flow. Traders appear to treat the HKO’s daily minimum reading as the near-certain resolution outcome. Only a sharp, unexpected drop in radiative cooling or an unforecasted cold-air surge could realistically push the actual low below 27°C before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,681Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of a 27–31°C range, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure subsidence, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for a 27°C minimum. Current surface observations and regional model consensus show overnight temperatures stabilizing in the upper 20s amid mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, consistent with typical September climatology under similar monsoon flow. Traders appear to treat the HKO’s daily minimum reading as the near-certain resolution outcome. Only a sharp, unexpected drop in radiative cooling or an unforecasted cold-air surge could realistically push the actual low below 27°C before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,681Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of a 27–31°C range, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure subsidence, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for a 27°C minimum. Current surface observations and regional model consensus show overnight temperatures stabilizing in the upper 20s amid mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, consistent with typical September climatology under similar monsoon flow. Traders appear to treat the HKO’s daily minimum reading as the near-certain resolution outcome. Only a sharp, unexpected drop in radiative cooling or an unforecasted cold-air surge could realistically push the actual low below 27°C before midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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