Official forecasts from Environment Canada and Climate Change Canada currently project a daytime high of 24°C for Toronto on September 17, with a 40% chance of showers under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, while nearby 23°C and 25°C options reflect minor model variations and uncertainty around cloud cover or brief clearing that could nudge the maximum by a degree. Recent observations show temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms, with September 16 expected to reach 26°C before cooler air arrives. Traders appear to weight official agency guidance heavily, as resolution depends on verified maximum readings rather than models alone. Updated Environment Canada briefings and any overnight model runs could refine these probabilities before markets close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 17 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Toronto il 17 settembre?
24°C 36%
25°C 25%
23°C 23%
22°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
23%
24°C
36%
25°C
25%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 36%
25°C 25%
23°C 23%
22°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$10 Vol.
2%
21°C
$29 Vol.
4%
22°C
$209 Vol.
9%
23°C
$61 Vol.
23%
24°C
$606 Vol.
36%
25°C
$184 Vol.
25%
26°C
$25 Vol.
7%
27°C
$134 Vol.
2%
28°C
$178 Vol.
1%
29°C o superiore
$158 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada and Climate Change Canada currently project a daytime high of 24°C for Toronto on September 17, with a 40% chance of showers under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, while nearby 23°C and 25°C options reflect minor model variations and uncertainty around cloud cover or brief clearing that could nudge the maximum by a degree. Recent observations show temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms, with September 16 expected to reach 26°C before cooler air arrives. Traders appear to weight official agency guidance heavily, as resolution depends on verified maximum readings rather than models alone. Updated Environment Canada briefings and any overnight model runs could refine these probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,594Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada and Climate Change Canada currently project a daytime high of 24°C for Toronto on September 17, with a 40% chance of showers under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, while nearby 23°C and 25°C options reflect minor model variations and uncertainty around cloud cover or brief clearing that could nudge the maximum by a degree. Recent observations show temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms, with September 16 expected to reach 26°C before cooler air arrives. Traders appear to weight official agency guidance heavily, as resolution depends on verified maximum readings rather than models alone. Updated Environment Canada briefings and any overnight model runs could refine these probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,594Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada and Climate Change Canada currently project a daytime high of 24°C for Toronto on September 17, with a 40% chance of showers under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, while nearby 23°C and 25°C options reflect minor model variations and uncertainty around cloud cover or brief clearing that could nudge the maximum by a degree. Recent observations show temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms, with September 16 expected to reach 26°C before cooler air arrives. Traders appear to weight official agency guidance heavily, as resolution depends on verified maximum readings rather than models alone. Updated Environment Canada briefings and any overnight model runs could refine these probabilities before markets close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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