Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate an overnight low in Toronto near 16–18°C on September 16, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a moderating air mass after earlier southerly flow. This positions the market-implied odds near 17–19°C as the most likely range, though the near-even split between 21°C+ (44%) and 11°C or below (43%) reflects lingering uncertainty in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that controls nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical September averages near 14°C provide context, but current steering patterns and dew-point trends favor milder minima unless clearer skies develop earlier than modeled. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will clarify resolution thresholds around these temperature bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Toronto il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Toronto il 16 settembre?
11°C o inferiore 90%
21°C o superiore 90%
15°C 40%
17°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
90%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
40%
16°C
21%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
40%
21°C o superiore
90%
11°C o inferiore 90%
21°C o superiore 90%
15°C 40%
17°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
90%
12°C
$0 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
18%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$3 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate an overnight low in Toronto near 16–18°C on September 16, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a moderating air mass after earlier southerly flow. This positions the market-implied odds near 17–19°C as the most likely range, though the near-even split between 21°C+ (44%) and 11°C or below (43%) reflects lingering uncertainty in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that controls nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical September averages near 14°C provide context, but current steering patterns and dew-point trends favor milder minima unless clearer skies develop earlier than modeled. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will clarify resolution thresholds around these temperature bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$3Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate an overnight low in Toronto near 16–18°C on September 16, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a moderating air mass after earlier southerly flow. This positions the market-implied odds near 17–19°C as the most likely range, though the near-even split between 21°C+ (44%) and 11°C or below (43%) reflects lingering uncertainty in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that controls nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical September averages near 14°C provide context, but current steering patterns and dew-point trends favor milder minima unless clearer skies develop earlier than modeled. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will clarify resolution thresholds around these temperature bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate an overnight low in Toronto near 16–18°C on September 16, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a moderating air mass after earlier southerly flow. This positions the market-implied odds near 17–19°C as the most likely range, though the near-even split between 21°C+ (44%) and 11°C or below (43%) reflects lingering uncertainty in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that controls nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical September averages near 14°C provide context, but current steering patterns and dew-point trends favor milder minima unless clearer skies develop earlier than modeled. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will clarify resolution thresholds around these temperature bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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