The market's near-certain pricing on 31°C reflects official observations and multiple real-time weather station reports confirming that as Guangzhou's daily maximum on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and southeasterly flow. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 31.9°C for the date while falling well below historical extremes such as the 35.6°C record set in 2021. Model consensus from sources including NOAA-linked forecasts and local monitoring showed limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and precipitation suppressing further rises. Resolution hinges on verified station data meeting the exact threshold; minor adjustments in post-processing or differing station networks could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current convergence across datasets leaves negligible room for alternative outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 16 settembre?
31°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$48,181 Vol.
$48,181 Vol.
16 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Sì
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C o superiore
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$48,181 Vol.
$48,181 Vol.
16 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$338 Vol.
No
26°C
$354 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,170 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,206 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,306 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,885 Vol.
No
31°C
$12,782 Vol.
Sì
32°C
$5,968 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,047 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,373 Vol.
No
35°C o superiore
$4,753 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on 31°C reflects official observations and multiple real-time weather station reports confirming that as Guangzhou's daily maximum on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and southeasterly flow. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 31.9°C for the date while falling well below historical extremes such as the 35.6°C record set in 2021. Model consensus from sources including NOAA-linked forecasts and local monitoring showed limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and precipitation suppressing further rises. Resolution hinges on verified station data meeting the exact threshold; minor adjustments in post-processing or differing station networks could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current convergence across datasets leaves negligible room for alternative outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$48,181Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on 31°C reflects official observations and multiple real-time weather station reports confirming that as Guangzhou's daily maximum on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and southeasterly flow. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 31.9°C for the date while falling well below historical extremes such as the 35.6°C record set in 2021. Model consensus from sources including NOAA-linked forecasts and local monitoring showed limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and precipitation suppressing further rises. Resolution hinges on verified station data meeting the exact threshold; minor adjustments in post-processing or differing station networks could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current convergence across datasets leaves negligible room for alternative outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,181Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The market's near-certain pricing on 31°C reflects official observations and multiple real-time weather station reports confirming that as Guangzhou's daily maximum on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and southeasterly flow. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 31.9°C for the date while falling well below historical extremes such as the 35.6°C record set in 2021. Model consensus from sources including NOAA-linked forecasts and local monitoring showed limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and precipitation suppressing further rises. Resolution hinges on verified station data meeting the exact threshold; minor adjustments in post-processing or differing station networks could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current convergence across datasets leaves negligible room for alternative outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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