Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate Tokyo’s September 17 high will likely fall in the 23–25 °C range, with persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and northeasterly winds suppressing daytime warming below seasonal normals near 27 °C. These conditions limit solar insolation and advect cooler maritime air, keeping maximum temperatures tightly clustered around the market’s leading outcomes. Model consensus remains modest because small shifts in rain timing or wind strength can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C; traders are therefore weighting the most probable central values while assigning lower probability to outliers above 26 °C or below 22 °C. Updated JMA guidance and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 17 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 17 settembre?
24°C 37%
23°C 29%
25°C 23%
22°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
29%
24°C
37%
25°C
23%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 37%
23°C 29%
25°C 23%
22°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$92 Vol.
2%
20°C
$199 Vol.
1%
21°C
$471 Vol.
3%
22°C
$489 Vol.
6%
23°C
$1,884 Vol.
29%
24°C
$1,231 Vol.
37%
25°C
$2,026 Vol.
23%
26°C
$619 Vol.
5%
27°C
$447 Vol.
2%
28°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$874 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate Tokyo’s September 17 high will likely fall in the 23–25 °C range, with persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and northeasterly winds suppressing daytime warming below seasonal normals near 27 °C. These conditions limit solar insolation and advect cooler maritime air, keeping maximum temperatures tightly clustered around the market’s leading outcomes. Model consensus remains modest because small shifts in rain timing or wind strength can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C; traders are therefore weighting the most probable central values while assigning lower probability to outliers above 26 °C or below 22 °C. Updated JMA guidance and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,671Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate Tokyo’s September 17 high will likely fall in the 23–25 °C range, with persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and northeasterly winds suppressing daytime warming below seasonal normals near 27 °C. These conditions limit solar insolation and advect cooler maritime air, keeping maximum temperatures tightly clustered around the market’s leading outcomes. Model consensus remains modest because small shifts in rain timing or wind strength can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C; traders are therefore weighting the most probable central values while assigning lower probability to outliers above 26 °C or below 22 °C. Updated JMA guidance and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,671Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate Tokyo’s September 17 high will likely fall in the 23–25 °C range, with persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and northeasterly winds suppressing daytime warming below seasonal normals near 27 °C. These conditions limit solar insolation and advect cooler maritime air, keeping maximum temperatures tightly clustered around the market’s leading outcomes. Model consensus remains modest because small shifts in rain timing or wind strength can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C; traders are therefore weighting the most probable central values while assigning lower probability to outliers above 26 °C or below 22 °C. Updated JMA guidance and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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