Recent observational data and forecast models from sources including PAGASA indicate peak temperatures in Manila today are likely to reach the low 30s Celsius, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity (often 70-85%) limiting further warming through cloud cover and precipitation. Multiple runs show daytime highs near 30-32°C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 31°C maxima, while stronger convection could suppress readings slightly below model peaks. Current conditions near 32°C mid-morning, combined with easterly flow and localized storm development, support the dominant market-implied odds for 32°C as the daily high, with modest probability assigned to 33°C if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and official station readings will refine resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 16 settembre?
32°C 90%
33°C 10%
34°C <1%
26°C o inferiore <1%
$37,006 Vol.
$37,006 Vol.
16 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
90%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 90%
33°C 10%
34°C <1%
26°C o inferiore <1%
$37,006 Vol.
$37,006 Vol.
16 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$387 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$814 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,392 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,829 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,155 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$10,417 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,977 Vol.
90%
33°C
$6,968 Vol.
10%
34°C
$2,319 Vol.
1%
35°C
$507 Vol.
<1%
36°C o superiore
$241 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from sources including PAGASA indicate peak temperatures in Manila today are likely to reach the low 30s Celsius, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity (often 70-85%) limiting further warming through cloud cover and precipitation. Multiple runs show daytime highs near 30-32°C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 31°C maxima, while stronger convection could suppress readings slightly below model peaks. Current conditions near 32°C mid-morning, combined with easterly flow and localized storm development, support the dominant market-implied odds for 32°C as the daily high, with modest probability assigned to 33°C if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and official station readings will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$37,006Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from sources including PAGASA indicate peak temperatures in Manila today are likely to reach the low 30s Celsius, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity (often 70-85%) limiting further warming through cloud cover and precipitation. Multiple runs show daytime highs near 30-32°C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 31°C maxima, while stronger convection could suppress readings slightly below model peaks. Current conditions near 32°C mid-morning, combined with easterly flow and localized storm development, support the dominant market-implied odds for 32°C as the daily high, with modest probability assigned to 33°C if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and official station readings will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,006Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and forecast models from sources including PAGASA indicate peak temperatures in Manila today are likely to reach the low 30s Celsius, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity (often 70-85%) limiting further warming through cloud cover and precipitation. Multiple runs show daytime highs near 30-32°C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 31°C maxima, while stronger convection could suppress readings slightly below model peaks. Current conditions near 32°C mid-morning, combined with easterly flow and localized storm development, support the dominant market-implied odds for 32°C as the daily high, with modest probability assigned to 33°C if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and official station readings will refine resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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