Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 17 peak will likely fall between 30–32°C, driven by typical monsoon-season humidity, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit strong solar heating while allowing brief clear periods for temperature spikes. Urban heat effects and a regional low-pressure influence support afternoon readings near or slightly above the 31°C historical September average, though heavy cloud cover and rain timing introduce variability that could cap the high. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 31°C and 32°C implied probabilities aligns with this model consensus and official outlooks, with lower odds on extremes highlighting the moderating role of precipitation. Updated radar and next model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 17 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 17 settembre?
31°C 87%
32°C 12%
33°C 2%
35°C <1%
$33,053 Vol.
$33,053 Vol.
17 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
87%
32°C
12%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 87%
32°C 12%
33°C 2%
35°C <1%
$33,053 Vol.
$33,053 Vol.
17 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$1,577 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$538 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$794 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,417 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,628 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,965 Vol.
87%
32°C
$7,248 Vol.
12%
33°C
$5,360 Vol.
2%
34°C
$771 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$471 Vol.
<1%
36°C o superiore
$1,283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 17 peak will likely fall between 30–32°C, driven by typical monsoon-season humidity, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit strong solar heating while allowing brief clear periods for temperature spikes. Urban heat effects and a regional low-pressure influence support afternoon readings near or slightly above the 31°C historical September average, though heavy cloud cover and rain timing introduce variability that could cap the high. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 31°C and 32°C implied probabilities aligns with this model consensus and official outlooks, with lower odds on extremes highlighting the moderating role of precipitation. Updated radar and next model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$33,053Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 17 peak will likely fall between 30–32°C, driven by typical monsoon-season humidity, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit strong solar heating while allowing brief clear periods for temperature spikes. Urban heat effects and a regional low-pressure influence support afternoon readings near or slightly above the 31°C historical September average, though heavy cloud cover and rain timing introduce variability that could cap the high. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 31°C and 32°C implied probabilities aligns with this model consensus and official outlooks, with lower odds on extremes highlighting the moderating role of precipitation. Updated radar and next model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,053Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 17 peak will likely fall between 30–32°C, driven by typical monsoon-season humidity, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit strong solar heating while allowing brief clear periods for temperature spikes. Urban heat effects and a regional low-pressure influence support afternoon readings near or slightly above the 31°C historical September average, though heavy cloud cover and rain timing introduce variability that could cap the high. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 31°C and 32°C implied probabilities aligns with this model consensus and official outlooks, with lower odds on extremes highlighting the moderating role of precipitation. Updated radar and next model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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