Persistent southwesterly flow is steering mild Atlantic air toward Amsterdam, supporting forecast highs of 20–21°C on September 19 amid light rain or showers and moderate winds. This places the day slightly above the long-term September average high near 19°C while cloud cover and precipitation limit stronger warming. Model consensus across sources shows limited spread, with small differences in timing or intensity of showers able to shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 20°C and 21°C, reflecting the narrow but genuine uncertainty in afternoon conditions before final observations resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 19 settembre?
21°C 44%
20°C 36%
22°C 13%
19°C 8%
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
36%
21°C
44%
22°C
13%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C o superiore
<1%
21°C 44%
20°C 36%
22°C 13%
19°C 8%
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
36%
21°C
44%
22°C
13%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwesterly flow is steering mild Atlantic air toward Amsterdam, supporting forecast highs of 20–21°C on September 19 amid light rain or showers and moderate winds. This places the day slightly above the long-term September average high near 19°C while cloud cover and precipitation limit stronger warming. Model consensus across sources shows limited spread, with small differences in timing or intensity of showers able to shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 20°C and 21°C, reflecting the narrow but genuine uncertainty in afternoon conditions before final observations resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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