National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding New York City stations consistently project a daytime high of 71–72°F on September 19 under partly sunny skies with northeast to east winds of 5–10 mph. These conditions limit solar heating and advect cooler marine air, holding temperatures below the late-September climatological average of roughly 75°F. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal diurnal rise after morning readings near 63–66°F, with no significant warm-air advection or clearing expected before peak heating. This alignment explains the dominant 79% market-implied probability on the 70–71°F bin, while thin volume on warmer or cooler alternatives reflects limited uncertainty in the official guidance ahead of afternoon observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 19 settembre?
21-22°C 80%
72-73°F 17%
74-75°F 2.2%
76-77°F <1%
$41,152 Vol.
$41,152 Vol.
19 set 2026
61°F o inferiore
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
21-22°C
80%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F o superiore
<1%
21-22°C 80%
72-73°F 17%
74-75°F 2.2%
76-77°F <1%
$41,152 Vol.
$41,152 Vol.
19 set 2026
61°F o inferiore
$111 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$421 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$667 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$3,779 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$8,536 Vol.
<1%
21-22°C
$10,931 Vol.
80%
72-73°F
$7,432 Vol.
17%
74-75°F
$6,073 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$1,122 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$821 Vol.
<1%
80°F o superiore
$1,259 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding New York City stations consistently project a daytime high of 71–72°F on September 19 under partly sunny skies with northeast to east winds of 5–10 mph. These conditions limit solar heating and advect cooler marine air, holding temperatures below the late-September climatological average of roughly 75°F. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal diurnal rise after morning readings near 63–66°F, with no significant warm-air advection or clearing expected before peak heating. This alignment explains the dominant 79% market-implied probability on the 70–71°F bin, while thin volume on warmer or cooler alternatives reflects limited uncertainty in the official guidance ahead of afternoon observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$41,152Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding New York City stations consistently project a daytime high of 71–72°F on September 19 under partly sunny skies with northeast to east winds of 5–10 mph. These conditions limit solar heating and advect cooler marine air, holding temperatures below the late-September climatological average of roughly 75°F. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal diurnal rise after morning readings near 63–66°F, with no significant warm-air advection or clearing expected before peak heating. This alignment explains the dominant 79% market-implied probability on the 70–71°F bin, while thin volume on warmer or cooler alternatives reflects limited uncertainty in the official guidance ahead of afternoon observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,152Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding New York City stations consistently project a daytime high of 71–72°F on September 19 under partly sunny skies with northeast to east winds of 5–10 mph. These conditions limit solar heating and advect cooler marine air, holding temperatures below the late-September climatological average of roughly 75°F. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal diurnal rise after morning readings near 63–66°F, with no significant warm-air advection or clearing expected before peak heating. This alignment explains the dominant 79% market-implied probability on the 70–71°F bin, while thin volume on warmer or cooler alternatives reflects limited uncertainty in the official guidance ahead of afternoon observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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