**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 20, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and early observations showing a high near that threshold.** Southerly winds and increasing cloud cover have kept temperatures suppressed relative to recent days, with Met Office guidance and model outputs pointing to a peak around 13–15°C amid light rain chances and moderate humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September (typical highs near 13–14°C) and current surface observations, such as afternoon readings near 14°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability incorporates the “wisdom of crowds” from traders assessing real-time data from agencies like MetService. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day warming spike or revision in the official maximum, though model consensus and steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 20 settembre?
15°C 85.9%
16°C 14.3%
9°C o inferiore <1%
10°C <1%
NUOVO
$79,563 Vol.
NUOVO
$79,563 Vol.
20 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
86%
16°C
14%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 85.9%
16°C 14.3%
9°C o inferiore <1%
10°C <1%
NUOVO
$79,563 Vol.
NUOVO
$79,563 Vol.
20 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
$214 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$952 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,170 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,902 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,010 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$25,483 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$16,709 Vol.
86%
16°C
$16,656 Vol.
14%
17°C
$2,162 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,224 Vol.
<1%
19°C o superiore
$1,081 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 20, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and early observations showing a high near that threshold.** Southerly winds and increasing cloud cover have kept temperatures suppressed relative to recent days, with Met Office guidance and model outputs pointing to a peak around 13–15°C amid light rain chances and moderate humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September (typical highs near 13–14°C) and current surface observations, such as afternoon readings near 14°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability incorporates the “wisdom of crowds” from traders assessing real-time data from agencies like MetService. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day warming spike or revision in the official maximum, though model consensus and steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$79,563Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 20, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and early observations showing a high near that threshold.** Southerly winds and increasing cloud cover have kept temperatures suppressed relative to recent days, with Met Office guidance and model outputs pointing to a peak around 13–15°C amid light rain chances and moderate humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September (typical highs near 13–14°C) and current surface observations, such as afternoon readings near 14°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability incorporates the “wisdom of crowds” from traders assessing real-time data from agencies like MetService. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day warming spike or revision in the official maximum, though model consensus and steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79,563Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 20, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and early observations showing a high near that threshold.** Southerly winds and increasing cloud cover have kept temperatures suppressed relative to recent days, with Met Office guidance and model outputs pointing to a peak around 13–15°C amid light rain chances and moderate humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September (typical highs near 13–14°C) and current surface observations, such as afternoon readings near 14°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability incorporates the “wisdom of crowds” from traders assessing real-time data from agencies like MetService. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day warming spike or revision in the official maximum, though model consensus and steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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