Recent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's CONAGUA and international runs such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 21, consistent with climatological norms of 22–24°C for late September at this high-elevation site. Current surface observations show temperatures reaching 23–26°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting modest warming potential if afternoon insolation increases. Trader consensus favoring 26°C reflects these outputs while assigning meaningful probability to 27°C or higher amid model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; lower outcomes remain discounted given the absence of strong cooling signals like enhanced rain or northerly surges. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine peak timing ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 21 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 21 settembre?
26°C 55%
27°C o superiore 35%
25°C 7%
24°C 2.9%
NUOVO
$16,895 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,895 Vol.
21 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
55%
27°C o superiore
35%
26°C 55%
27°C o superiore 35%
25°C 7%
24°C 2.9%
NUOVO
$16,895 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,895 Vol.
21 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
$602 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,646 Vol.
1%
24°C
$743 Vol.
3%
25°C
$3,757 Vol.
7%
26°C
$3,206 Vol.
55%
27°C o superiore
$6,782 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's CONAGUA and international runs such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 21, consistent with climatological norms of 22–24°C for late September at this high-elevation site. Current surface observations show temperatures reaching 23–26°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting modest warming potential if afternoon insolation increases. Trader consensus favoring 26°C reflects these outputs while assigning meaningful probability to 27°C or higher amid model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; lower outcomes remain discounted given the absence of strong cooling signals like enhanced rain or northerly surges. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine peak timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,895Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's CONAGUA and international runs such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 21, consistent with climatological norms of 22–24°C for late September at this high-elevation site. Current surface observations show temperatures reaching 23–26°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting modest warming potential if afternoon insolation increases. Trader consensus favoring 26°C reflects these outputs while assigning meaningful probability to 27°C or higher amid model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; lower outcomes remain discounted given the absence of strong cooling signals like enhanced rain or northerly surges. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine peak timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,895Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's CONAGUA and international runs such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 21, consistent with climatological norms of 22–24°C for late September at this high-elevation site. Current surface observations show temperatures reaching 23–26°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting modest warming potential if afternoon insolation increases. Trader consensus favoring 26°C reflects these outputs while assigning meaningful probability to 27°C or higher amid model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; lower outcomes remain discounted given the absence of strong cooling signals like enhanced rain or northerly surges. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine peak timing ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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