Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a maximum near 29–30°C in Milan on September 21 under partly cloudy to overcast skies, light easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus supports the market’s tight split between the 30°C (40%) and 29°C (33.5%) outcomes, with minor differences arising from cloud-cover timing and localized urban heat-island effects that can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 24–26°C provide context for the elevated readings, while the low probability assigned to 31°C+ reflects limited model support for further warming. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact peak and influence any final shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 21 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 21 settembre?
30°C 39%
29°C 38%
31°C o superiore 13%
28°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
38%
30°C
39%
31°C o superiore
13%
30°C 39%
29°C 38%
31°C o superiore 13%
28°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,745 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$187 Vol.
1%
27°C
$117 Vol.
3%
28°C
$774 Vol.
13%
29°C
$785 Vol.
38%
30°C
$767 Vol.
39%
31°C o superiore
$535 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a maximum near 29–30°C in Milan on September 21 under partly cloudy to overcast skies, light easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus supports the market’s tight split between the 30°C (40%) and 29°C (33.5%) outcomes, with minor differences arising from cloud-cover timing and localized urban heat-island effects that can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 24–26°C provide context for the elevated readings, while the low probability assigned to 31°C+ reflects limited model support for further warming. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact peak and influence any final shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,546Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a maximum near 29–30°C in Milan on September 21 under partly cloudy to overcast skies, light easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus supports the market’s tight split between the 30°C (40%) and 29°C (33.5%) outcomes, with minor differences arising from cloud-cover timing and localized urban heat-island effects that can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 24–26°C provide context for the elevated readings, while the low probability assigned to 31°C+ reflects limited model support for further warming. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact peak and influence any final shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,546Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a maximum near 29–30°C in Milan on September 21 under partly cloudy to overcast skies, light easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus supports the market’s tight split between the 30°C (40%) and 29°C (33.5%) outcomes, with minor differences arising from cloud-cover timing and localized urban heat-island effects that can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 24–26°C provide context for the elevated readings, while the low probability assigned to 31°C+ reflects limited model support for further warming. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact peak and influence any final shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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