Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent cloud cover and rainfall over Chongqing on September 22, suppressing daytime heating and favoring a high near 23–24°C. Light to moderate rain, high humidity near 85–90%, and weak winds limit solar insolation while promoting evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below typical late-September values around 26–28°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with slight variations in rain timing or intensity potentially shifting the peak by 1–2°C. This uncertainty underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C and 25°C, as traders weigh official guidance against possible breaks in cloud cover.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 22 settembre?
24°C 24%
22°C 22%
26°C 19%
17°C o inferiore 17%
17°C o inferiore
17%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
10%
21°C
11%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
25%
25°C
17%
26°C
19%
27°C o superiore
1%
24°C 24%
22°C 22%
26°C 19%
17°C o inferiore 17%
17°C o inferiore
17%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
10%
21°C
11%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
25%
25°C
17%
26°C
19%
27°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent cloud cover and rainfall over Chongqing on September 22, suppressing daytime heating and favoring a high near 23–24°C. Light to moderate rain, high humidity near 85–90%, and weak winds limit solar insolation while promoting evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below typical late-September values around 26–28°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with slight variations in rain timing or intensity potentially shifting the peak by 1–2°C. This uncertainty underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C and 25°C, as traders weigh official guidance against possible breaks in cloud cover.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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