Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 20 show mostly clear skies and light southerly winds under the influence of a stable high-pressure system, supporting daytime highs in the mid-20s °C. Model outputs vary modestly between roughly 22–27 °C depending on the exact timing of peak insolation, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing, which explains why the market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 25–27 °C. Recent runs from global and regional models indicate a gradual warming trend from the weekend, consistent with spring climatology in the region’s Mediterranean climate, though small revisions in afternoon wind or cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated guidance from the South African Weather Service and ensemble forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 20 settembre?
26°C 33%
27°C 29%
25°C 22%
24°C 10%
19°C o meno
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
8%
24°C
10%
25°C
22%
26°C
33%
27°C
29%
28°C
10%
29°C o superiore
5%
26°C 33%
27°C 29%
25°C 22%
24°C 10%
19°C o meno
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
8%
24°C
10%
25°C
22%
26°C
33%
27°C
29%
28°C
10%
29°C o superiore
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 20 show mostly clear skies and light southerly winds under the influence of a stable high-pressure system, supporting daytime highs in the mid-20s °C. Model outputs vary modestly between roughly 22–27 °C depending on the exact timing of peak insolation, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing, which explains why the market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 25–27 °C. Recent runs from global and regional models indicate a gradual warming trend from the weekend, consistent with spring climatology in the region’s Mediterranean climate, though small revisions in afternoon wind or cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated guidance from the South African Weather Service and ensemble forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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