Latest KMA and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime maximum near 28°C in Seoul-Incheon on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Mid-September climatology features moderating temperatures after peak summer warmth, with daily highs typically 26–28°C absent strong advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Current runs show modest model spread driven by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 27°C and 29°C outcomes competitive while limiting odds on extremes. Updated KMA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF cycles on September 17 will narrow resolution criteria tied to official Incheon station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 18 settembre?
28°C 37%
27°C 23%
29°C 22%
30°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
23%
28°C
25%
29°C
15%
30°C
11%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 37%
27°C 23%
29°C 22%
30°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4 Vol.
4%
26°C
$17 Vol.
10%
27°C
$7 Vol.
23%
28°C
$3 Vol.
25%
29°C
$6 Vol.
15%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest KMA and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime maximum near 28°C in Seoul-Incheon on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Mid-September climatology features moderating temperatures after peak summer warmth, with daily highs typically 26–28°C absent strong advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Current runs show modest model spread driven by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 27°C and 29°C outcomes competitive while limiting odds on extremes. Updated KMA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF cycles on September 17 will narrow resolution criteria tied to official Incheon station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$36Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest KMA and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime maximum near 28°C in Seoul-Incheon on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Mid-September climatology features moderating temperatures after peak summer warmth, with daily highs typically 26–28°C absent strong advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Current runs show modest model spread driven by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 27°C and 29°C outcomes competitive while limiting odds on extremes. Updated KMA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF cycles on September 17 will narrow resolution criteria tied to official Incheon station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest KMA and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime maximum near 28°C in Seoul-Incheon on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Mid-September climatology features moderating temperatures after peak summer warmth, with daily highs typically 26–28°C absent strong advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Current runs show modest model spread driven by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 27°C and 29°C outcomes competitive while limiting odds on extremes. Updated KMA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF cycles on September 17 will narrow resolution criteria tied to official Incheon station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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