**Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on September 20 centers on the 76-77°F bin (45% implied probability) and the adjacent 74-75°F range (32%), reflecting tight clustering around official forecast guidance.** National Weather Service Miami and multiple model runs (including GFS) project an overnight low near 76°F under persistent tropical moisture, light variable winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. High dew points near 76-77°F anchor minimum temperatures, as humid air resists dropping far below saturation levels amid scattered showers and thunderstorms expected through the period. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology for southeast Florida, where urban heat island effects and weak steering flow further suppress cooling. Recent NWS tabular forecasts explicitly list 76°F as the overnight low for the 19th-20th transition, with similar values holding into the following night, while ensemble consistency and absence of any cooler air mass advection reinforce the narrow distribution around the upper 70s. Minor downward revisions could occur with clearer skies or stronger winds, but current observations and short-range guidance show little deviation from this consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Miami il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Miami il 20 settembre?
76-77°F 46%
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 18%
78-79°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
69°F o inferiore
2%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
46%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F o superiore
1%
76-77°F 46%
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 18%
78-79°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
69°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$24 Vol.
18%
74-75°F
$251 Vol.
32%
76-77°F
$78 Vol.
46%
78-79°F
$7 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$175 Vol.
1%
88°F o superiore
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on September 20 centers on the 76-77°F bin (45% implied probability) and the adjacent 74-75°F range (32%), reflecting tight clustering around official forecast guidance.**
National Weather Service Miami and multiple model runs (including GFS) project an overnight low near 76°F under persistent tropical moisture, light variable winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. High dew points near 76-77°F anchor minimum temperatures, as humid air resists dropping far below saturation levels amid scattered showers and thunderstorms expected through the period.
This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology for southeast Florida, where urban heat island effects and weak steering flow further suppress cooling. Recent NWS tabular forecasts explicitly list 76°F as the overnight low for the 19th-20th transition, with similar values holding into the following night, while ensemble consistency and absence of any cooler air mass advection reinforce the narrow distribution around the upper 70s. Minor downward revisions could occur with clearer skies or stronger winds, but current observations and short-range guidance show little deviation from this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$565Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on September 20 centers on the 76-77°F bin (45% implied probability) and the adjacent 74-75°F range (32%), reflecting tight clustering around official forecast guidance.**
National Weather Service Miami and multiple model runs (including GFS) project an overnight low near 76°F under persistent tropical moisture, light variable winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. High dew points near 76-77°F anchor minimum temperatures, as humid air resists dropping far below saturation levels amid scattered showers and thunderstorms expected through the period.
This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology for southeast Florida, where urban heat island effects and weak steering flow further suppress cooling. Recent NWS tabular forecasts explicitly list 76°F as the overnight low for the 19th-20th transition, with similar values holding into the following night, while ensemble consistency and absence of any cooler air mass advection reinforce the narrow distribution around the upper 70s. Minor downward revisions could occur with clearer skies or stronger winds, but current observations and short-range guidance show little deviation from this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$565Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on September 20 centers on the 76-77°F bin (45% implied probability) and the adjacent 74-75°F range (32%), reflecting tight clustering around official forecast guidance.** National Weather Service Miami and multiple model runs (including GFS) project an overnight low near 76°F under persistent tropical moisture, light variable winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. High dew points near 76-77°F anchor minimum temperatures, as humid air resists dropping far below saturation levels amid scattered showers and thunderstorms expected through the period. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology for southeast Florida, where urban heat island effects and weak steering flow further suppress cooling. Recent NWS tabular forecasts explicitly list 76°F as the overnight low for the 19th-20th transition, with similar values holding into the following night, while ensemble consistency and absence of any cooler air mass advection reinforce the narrow distribution around the upper 70s. Minor downward revisions could occur with clearer skies or stronger winds, but current observations and short-range guidance show little deviation from this consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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