Recent meteorological guidance for Qingdao on September 19 points to a stable high-pressure regime with southerly flow and partly to mostly clear skies, supporting a daytime maximum near 25–27 °C according to multiple model runs. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and moderate humidity levels near 65–70 % limit rapid warming, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate readings. Market-implied probabilities nevertheless concentrate at 29–30 °C, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty ranges, possible urban heat-island enhancement, and the historical tendency for official maxima to verify slightly above initial guidance in early-autumn transition periods. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 19 settembre?
30°C 47%
29°C 31%
31°C 16%
28°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
31%
30°C
47%
31°C
16%
32°C o più
1%
30°C 47%
29°C 31%
31°C 16%
28°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$193 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$34 Vol.
2%
27°C
$30 Vol.
2%
28°C
$51 Vol.
7%
29°C
$1,117 Vol.
31%
30°C
$1,628 Vol.
47%
31°C
$601 Vol.
16%
32°C o più
$88 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance for Qingdao on September 19 points to a stable high-pressure regime with southerly flow and partly to mostly clear skies, supporting a daytime maximum near 25–27 °C according to multiple model runs. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and moderate humidity levels near 65–70 % limit rapid warming, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate readings. Market-implied probabilities nevertheless concentrate at 29–30 °C, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty ranges, possible urban heat-island enhancement, and the historical tendency for official maxima to verify slightly above initial guidance in early-autumn transition periods. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,804Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance for Qingdao on September 19 points to a stable high-pressure regime with southerly flow and partly to mostly clear skies, supporting a daytime maximum near 25–27 °C according to multiple model runs. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and moderate humidity levels near 65–70 % limit rapid warming, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate readings. Market-implied probabilities nevertheless concentrate at 29–30 °C, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty ranges, possible urban heat-island enhancement, and the historical tendency for official maxima to verify slightly above initial guidance in early-autumn transition periods. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,804Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance for Qingdao on September 19 points to a stable high-pressure regime with southerly flow and partly to mostly clear skies, supporting a daytime maximum near 25–27 °C according to multiple model runs. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and moderate humidity levels near 65–70 % limit rapid warming, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate readings. Market-implied probabilities nevertheless concentrate at 29–30 °C, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty ranges, possible urban heat-island enhancement, and the historical tendency for official maxima to verify slightly above initial guidance in early-autumn transition periods. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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