Recent Met Office and GFS model guidance for London on September 19 points to a mild southwesterly flow under variable cloud, supporting a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C with only limited sunshine and a slight chance of light showers or drizzle in the afternoon. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (54 %) and 21 °C (25 %), as the models show modest diurnal warming tempered by increasing cloud cover and moderate winds that prevent stronger heating. Historical mid-September averages near 18–20 °C provide context for the current warmer anomaly, while resolution hinges on the precise timing of any shower activity and the highest hourly reading recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through the evening of the 18th remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 19 settembre?
22°C 48%
21°C 26%
23°C 22%
20°C 3%
NUOVO
$13,564 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,564 Vol.
19 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
26%
22°C
48%
23°C
22%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
22°C 48%
21°C 26%
23°C 22%
20°C 3%
NUOVO
$13,564 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,564 Vol.
19 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
$209 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$727 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$759 Vol.
2%
20°C
$974 Vol.
3%
21°C
$2,514 Vol.
26%
22°C
$4,857 Vol.
48%
23°C
$1,474 Vol.
22%
24°C
$972 Vol.
3%
25°C
$729 Vol.
<1%
26°C o superiore
$208 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model guidance for London on September 19 points to a mild southwesterly flow under variable cloud, supporting a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C with only limited sunshine and a slight chance of light showers or drizzle in the afternoon. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (54 %) and 21 °C (25 %), as the models show modest diurnal warming tempered by increasing cloud cover and moderate winds that prevent stronger heating. Historical mid-September averages near 18–20 °C provide context for the current warmer anomaly, while resolution hinges on the precise timing of any shower activity and the highest hourly reading recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through the evening of the 18th remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$13,564Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model guidance for London on September 19 points to a mild southwesterly flow under variable cloud, supporting a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C with only limited sunshine and a slight chance of light showers or drizzle in the afternoon. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (54 %) and 21 °C (25 %), as the models show modest diurnal warming tempered by increasing cloud cover and moderate winds that prevent stronger heating. Historical mid-September averages near 18–20 °C provide context for the current warmer anomaly, while resolution hinges on the precise timing of any shower activity and the highest hourly reading recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through the evening of the 18th remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,564Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and GFS model guidance for London on September 19 points to a mild southwesterly flow under variable cloud, supporting a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C with only limited sunshine and a slight chance of light showers or drizzle in the afternoon. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (54 %) and 21 °C (25 %), as the models show modest diurnal warming tempered by increasing cloud cover and moderate winds that prevent stronger heating. Historical mid-September averages near 18–20 °C provide context for the current warmer anomaly, while resolution hinges on the precise timing of any shower activity and the highest hourly reading recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through the evening of the 18th remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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