Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show Houston under a warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited cloud cover expected to push the daily maximum into the mid-90s on September 21. This consensus, supported by recent runs indicating afternoon temperatures near 94–95°F, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on that range. Seasonal climatology places typical late-September highs around 90–92°F, so any deviation hinges on the strength of daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model guidance over the past 24 hours has shown little shift, keeping 96–97°F and 92–93°F as secondary possibilities if mixing or timing of peak insolation varies. Traders appear to be pricing the low probability of stronger cooling or an earlier sea-breeze front arriving before the daily high is reached.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 21 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Houston il 21 settembre?
94-95°F 53%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 25%
90-91°F 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 set 2026
85°F o inferiore
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
53%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104°F o superiore
<1%
94-95°F 53%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 25%
90-91°F 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 set 2026
85°F o inferiore
$111 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$201 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$121 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$11 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$867 Vol.
26%
94-95°F
$1,387 Vol.
53%
96-97°F
$477 Vol.
25%
98-99°F
$76 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$183 Vol.
1%
104°F o superiore
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show Houston under a warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited cloud cover expected to push the daily maximum into the mid-90s on September 21. This consensus, supported by recent runs indicating afternoon temperatures near 94–95°F, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on that range. Seasonal climatology places typical late-September highs around 90–92°F, so any deviation hinges on the strength of daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model guidance over the past 24 hours has shown little shift, keeping 96–97°F and 92–93°F as secondary possibilities if mixing or timing of peak insolation varies. Traders appear to be pricing the low probability of stronger cooling or an earlier sea-breeze front arriving before the daily high is reached.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,990Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show Houston under a warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited cloud cover expected to push the daily maximum into the mid-90s on September 21. This consensus, supported by recent runs indicating afternoon temperatures near 94–95°F, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on that range. Seasonal climatology places typical late-September highs around 90–92°F, so any deviation hinges on the strength of daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model guidance over the past 24 hours has shown little shift, keeping 96–97°F and 92–93°F as secondary possibilities if mixing or timing of peak insolation varies. Traders appear to be pricing the low probability of stronger cooling or an earlier sea-breeze front arriving before the daily high is reached.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,990Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show Houston under a warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited cloud cover expected to push the daily maximum into the mid-90s on September 21. This consensus, supported by recent runs indicating afternoon temperatures near 94–95°F, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on that range. Seasonal climatology places typical late-September highs around 90–92°F, so any deviation hinges on the strength of daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model guidance over the past 24 hours has shown little shift, keeping 96–97°F and 92–93°F as secondary possibilities if mixing or timing of peak insolation varies. Traders appear to be pricing the low probability of stronger cooling or an earlier sea-breeze front arriving before the daily high is reached.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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