**Northeast winds and extensive cloud cover are anchoring the lowest temperature outlook for Chicago on September 21 near the mid-50s to low-60s.** Official National Weather Service guidance calls for a Monday night low around 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–15 mph, limiting radiational cooling. Multiple forecast models and local observations align on this range, consistent with the season’s climatological average low of 56.4°F. Trader emphasis on the 60–61°F bin (38% implied probability) appears driven by uncertainty in exact overnight minimums amid lingering moisture and variable wind speeds, while lower bins like 56–57°F (19.5%) reflect the official forecast consensus. Persistent cool northeast flow from recent days has suppressed daytime highs into the mid-60s, reducing the potential for warmer overnight readings. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chicago il 21 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chicago il 21 settembre?
60-61°F 40%
56-57°F 39%
62-63°F 27%
58-59°F 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 set 2026
49°F o inferiore
2%
50-51°F
2%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
7%
68°F o superiore
1%
60-61°F 40%
56-57°F 39%
62-63°F 27%
58-59°F 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 set 2026
49°F o inferiore
$31 Vol.
2%
50-51°F
$36 Vol.
2%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
7%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
11%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
39%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
16%
60-61°F
$11 Vol.
38%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
27%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
11%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
7%
68°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast winds and extensive cloud cover are anchoring the lowest temperature outlook for Chicago on September 21 near the mid-50s to low-60s.** Official National Weather Service guidance calls for a Monday night low around 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–15 mph, limiting radiational cooling. Multiple forecast models and local observations align on this range, consistent with the season’s climatological average low of 56.4°F. Trader emphasis on the 60–61°F bin (38% implied probability) appears driven by uncertainty in exact overnight minimums amid lingering moisture and variable wind speeds, while lower bins like 56–57°F (19.5%) reflect the official forecast consensus. Persistent cool northeast flow from recent days has suppressed daytime highs into the mid-60s, reducing the potential for warmer overnight readings. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$78Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast winds and extensive cloud cover are anchoring the lowest temperature outlook for Chicago on September 21 near the mid-50s to low-60s.** Official National Weather Service guidance calls for a Monday night low around 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–15 mph, limiting radiational cooling. Multiple forecast models and local observations align on this range, consistent with the season’s climatological average low of 56.4°F. Trader emphasis on the 60–61°F bin (38% implied probability) appears driven by uncertainty in exact overnight minimums amid lingering moisture and variable wind speeds, while lower bins like 56–57°F (19.5%) reflect the official forecast consensus. Persistent cool northeast flow from recent days has suppressed daytime highs into the mid-60s, reducing the potential for warmer overnight readings. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$78Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast winds and extensive cloud cover are anchoring the lowest temperature outlook for Chicago on September 21 near the mid-50s to low-60s.** Official National Weather Service guidance calls for a Monday night low around 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–15 mph, limiting radiational cooling. Multiple forecast models and local observations align on this range, consistent with the season’s climatological average low of 56.4°F. Trader emphasis on the 60–61°F bin (38% implied probability) appears driven by uncertainty in exact overnight minimums amid lingering moisture and variable wind speeds, while lower bins like 56–57°F (19.5%) reflect the official forecast consensus. Persistent cool northeast flow from recent days has suppressed daytime highs into the mid-60s, reducing the potential for warmer overnight readings. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti