A frontal boundary advancing across the eastern United States remains the dominant driver of precipitation probabilities for September 21, 2026. National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center guidance highlight elevated chances of measurable rainfall (at least 0.01 inches) in Northeast and Midwest stations, including New York, Philadelphia, Boston, and Chicago, as southwesterly flow ahead of the system transitions to cooler northeast winds behind it. Short-range models show broad consensus on timing and coverage, though exact amounts depend on the boundary’s speed and any embedded convection. Traders should monitor updated NWS point forecasts and 12-hour probability of precipitation products, which refine rapidly within 24–48 hours of the verification period. Historical analogs for late-September frontal passages support localized heavy rain potential in these regions while leaving most western and southern markets drier.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove pioverà il 21 settembre?
New York, NY
53%
Los Angeles, CA
24%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
41%
Phoenix, AZ
2%
Filadelfia, PA
45%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
61%
Atlanta, GA
62%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
83%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$385 Vol.
New York, NY
53%
Los Angeles, CA
24%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
41%
Phoenix, AZ
2%
Filadelfia, PA
45%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
61%
Atlanta, GA
62%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
83%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...A frontal boundary advancing across the eastern United States remains the dominant driver of precipitation probabilities for September 21, 2026. National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center guidance highlight elevated chances of measurable rainfall (at least 0.01 inches) in Northeast and Midwest stations, including New York, Philadelphia, Boston, and Chicago, as southwesterly flow ahead of the system transitions to cooler northeast winds behind it. Short-range models show broad consensus on timing and coverage, though exact amounts depend on the boundary’s speed and any embedded convection. Traders should monitor updated NWS point forecasts and 12-hour probability of precipitation products, which refine rapidly within 24–48 hours of the verification period. Historical analogs for late-September frontal passages support localized heavy rain potential in these regions while leaving most western and southern markets drier.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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