Recent National Weather Service guidance and model runs indicate a strengthening ridge of high pressure will sustain unseasonably hot conditions across central Texas on September 22, with Austin forecast highs centered in the upper 90s under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Consensus among official products places the daily maximum near 98–99°F, supported by elevated dew points and heat indices above 100°F, while isolated afternoon convection introduces minor cooling risk that caps probabilities for 100°F+ readings. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore the anomalous warmth, and traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 96–99°F bins against potential model adjustments in the final 24 hours before official observations resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Austin il 22 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Austin il 22 settembre?
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 39%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 6%
NUOVO
$10,148 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,148 Vol.
22 set 2026
87°F o inferiore
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
46%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106°F o superiore
<1%
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 39%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 6%
NUOVO
$10,148 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,148 Vol.
22 set 2026
87°F o inferiore
$1,310 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$95 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$345 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$504 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$549 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$3,444 Vol.
46%
98-99°F
$635 Vol.
39%
100-101°F
$1,428 Vol.
11%
102-103°F
$1,533 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$195 Vol.
1%
106°F o superiore
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model runs indicate a strengthening ridge of high pressure will sustain unseasonably hot conditions across central Texas on September 22, with Austin forecast highs centered in the upper 90s under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Consensus among official products places the daily maximum near 98–99°F, supported by elevated dew points and heat indices above 100°F, while isolated afternoon convection introduces minor cooling risk that caps probabilities for 100°F+ readings. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore the anomalous warmth, and traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 96–99°F bins against potential model adjustments in the final 24 hours before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,148Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model runs indicate a strengthening ridge of high pressure will sustain unseasonably hot conditions across central Texas on September 22, with Austin forecast highs centered in the upper 90s under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Consensus among official products places the daily maximum near 98–99°F, supported by elevated dew points and heat indices above 100°F, while isolated afternoon convection introduces minor cooling risk that caps probabilities for 100°F+ readings. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore the anomalous warmth, and traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 96–99°F bins against potential model adjustments in the final 24 hours before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,148Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model runs indicate a strengthening ridge of high pressure will sustain unseasonably hot conditions across central Texas on September 22, with Austin forecast highs centered in the upper 90s under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Consensus among official products places the daily maximum near 98–99°F, supported by elevated dew points and heat indices above 100°F, while isolated afternoon convection introduces minor cooling risk that caps probabilities for 100°F+ readings. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore the anomalous warmth, and traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 96–99°F bins against potential model adjustments in the final 24 hours before official observations resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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