Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GEM project Mexico City highs of 23–25°C on September 23, with partly cloudy skies, 30–60% afternoon rain chances, and light easterly winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with late-September climatology near the end of the rainy season, where cloud cover and scattered showers typically suppress peaks below the seasonal maximum. Trader consensus favoring 25°C or higher (92.5% combined) reflects the narrow gap between recent model runs and historical September averages around 22–24°C, while lower-probability outcomes below 24°C would require stronger-than-expected convection or earlier cloud buildup. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and evening model ensembles ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 23 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 23 settembre?
26°C o superiore 59%
25°C 35%
24°C 6%
23°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
35%
26°C o superiore
59%
26°C o superiore 59%
25°C 35%
24°C 6%
23°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
2%
17°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
2%
22°C
$262 Vol.
2%
23°C
$204 Vol.
3%
24°C
$182 Vol.
6%
25°C
$257 Vol.
35%
26°C o superiore
$289 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GEM project Mexico City highs of 23–25°C on September 23, with partly cloudy skies, 30–60% afternoon rain chances, and light easterly winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with late-September climatology near the end of the rainy season, where cloud cover and scattered showers typically suppress peaks below the seasonal maximum. Trader consensus favoring 25°C or higher (92.5% combined) reflects the narrow gap between recent model runs and historical September averages around 22–24°C, while lower-probability outcomes below 24°C would require stronger-than-expected convection or earlier cloud buildup. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and evening model ensembles ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,288Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GEM project Mexico City highs of 23–25°C on September 23, with partly cloudy skies, 30–60% afternoon rain chances, and light easterly winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with late-September climatology near the end of the rainy season, where cloud cover and scattered showers typically suppress peaks below the seasonal maximum. Trader consensus favoring 25°C or higher (92.5% combined) reflects the narrow gap between recent model runs and historical September averages around 22–24°C, while lower-probability outcomes below 24°C would require stronger-than-expected convection or earlier cloud buildup. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and evening model ensembles ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,288Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GEM project Mexico City highs of 23–25°C on September 23, with partly cloudy skies, 30–60% afternoon rain chances, and light easterly winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with late-September climatology near the end of the rainy season, where cloud cover and scattered showers typically suppress peaks below the seasonal maximum. Trader consensus favoring 25°C or higher (92.5% combined) reflects the narrow gap between recent model runs and historical September averages around 22–24°C, while lower-probability outcomes below 24°C would require stronger-than-expected convection or earlier cloud buildup. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and evening model ensembles ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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